DOTUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 40 trades in period
+5.97%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,781.39
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$6,746.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
5.8/100
× Confidence 0.94
= 5.4
30-Day Momentum
1
-3.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,296
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,746.81
Current Value
$7,781.39
Period P&L
$402.46
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
11 /
29
Best Trade
+15.96%
Worst Trade
-3.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$581,390.52
Estimated Fees
$1,453.48
Gross P&L
$402.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,051.02
Gross Return
+5.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.58%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,746.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 7:40pm ET | $2.78 | 2,424 | $6,746.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:30pm ET | $2.76 | 2,424 | $6,682.11 | $6,648.54 |
$-98.28 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $2.86 | 2,326 | $6,648.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 1:20pm ET | $3.31 | 2,326 | $7,709.33 | $7,673.44 |
+$1,024.89 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:25pm ET | $3.33 | 2,303 | $7,673.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:35pm ET | $3.20 | 2,303 | $7,371.26 | $7,333.65 |
$-339.79 (-3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 8:45pm ET | $3.37 | 2,173 | $7,333.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2025 12:15am ET | $3.38 | 2,173 | $7,341.26 | $7,304.57 |
$-29.08 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 8:15pm ET | $3.37 | 2,171 | $7,304.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 8:55pm ET | $3.26 | 2,171 | $7,074.47 | $7,038.52 |
$-266.05 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:45pm ET | $2.35 | 2,995 | $7,038.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 4:10pm ET | $2.35 | 2,995 | $7,026.54 | $6,991.38 |
$-47.14 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $2.17 | 3,220 | $6,991.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:10pm ET | $2.24 | 3,220 | $7,226.13 | $7,190.59 |
+$199.21 (+3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:45am ET | $2.20 | 3,274 | $7,190.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:45pm ET | $2.31 | 3,274 | $7,570.42 | $7,533.52 |
+$342.93 (+5.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $1.94 | 3,887 | $7,533.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $1.87 | 3,887 | $7,272.69 | $7,235.68 |
$-297.84 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
48m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 8:45am ET | $1.87 | 3,869 | $7,235.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:00pm ET | $1.84 | 3,869 | $7,119.60 | $7,083.71 |
$-151.97 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 25, 2025 9:40pm ET | $1.75 | 4,059 | $7,083.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:20am ET | $1.73 | 4,059 | $7,041.90 | $7,006.58 |
$-77.13 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 1, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.90 | 3,694 | $7,006.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 1, 2026 6:50pm ET | $2.00 | 3,694 | $7,370.80 | $7,334.86 |
+$328.27 (+5.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $2.11 | 3,472 | $7,334.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:00pm ET | $2.16 | 3,472 | $7,504.98 | $7,467.88 |
+$133.02 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $2.20 | 3,399 | $7,467.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $2.19 | 3,399 | $7,428.44 | $7,391.20 |
$-76.67 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $2.14 | 3,456 | $7,391.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $2.08 | 3,456 | $7,203.17 | $7,166.69 |
$-224.52 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:10am ET | $2.17 | 3,304 | $7,166.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.24 | 3,304 | $7,397.98 | $7,361.57 |
+$194.88 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 5:15pm ET | $2.32 | 3,179 | $7,361.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 7:30pm ET | $2.27 | 3,179 | $7,219.47 | $7,183.01 |
$-178.55 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.98 | 3,630 | $7,183.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:00pm ET | $1.97 | 3,630 | $7,148.17 | $7,112.34 |
$-70.67 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $1.55 | 4,583 | $7,112.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 12:00am ET | $1.55 | 4,583 | $7,103.18 | $7,067.64 |
$-44.70 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.54 | 4,580 | $7,067.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $1.50 | 4,580 | $6,877.09 | $6,842.23 |
$-225.41 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $1.30 | 5,284 | $6,842.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:15am ET | $1.27 | 5,284 | $6,704.86 | $6,670.99 |
$-171.24 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 5:50am ET | $1.32 | 5,042 | $6,670.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:15am ET | $1.32 | 5,042 | $6,665.95 | $6,632.60 |
$-38.38 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.39 | 4,775 | $6,632.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $1.36 | 4,775 | $6,470.25 | $6,437.49 |
$-195.11 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:05am ET | $1.28 | 5,041 | $6,437.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.24 | 5,041 | $6,242.92 | $6,242.92 |
$-226.27 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.34 | 4,667 | $6,242.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.32 | 4,667 | $6,153.32 | $6,153.32 |
$-120.59 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET | $1.30 | 4,749 | $6,153.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:05pm ET | $1.27 | 4,749 | $6,014.18 | $6,014.18 |
$-169.55 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 5:15am ET | $1.33 | 4,513 | $6,014.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.54 | 4,513 | $6,938.99 | $6,938.99 |
+$892.42 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.52 | 4,554 | $6,938.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 5:50pm ET | $1.64 | 4,554 | $7,485.47 | $7,485.47 |
+$510.42 (+7.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 6:35pm ET | $1.63 | 4,604 | $7,485.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:35pm ET | $1.63 | 4,604 | $7,506.19 | $7,506.19 |
$-16.76 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.62 | 4,640 | $7,506.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 5:15pm ET | $1.61 | 4,640 | $7,470.92 | $7,470.92 |
$-72.71 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $1.54 | 4,856 | $7,470.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 7:40pm ET | $1.64 | 4,856 | $7,953.57 | $7,953.57 |
+$444.09 (+6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
10.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 8:10pm ET | $1.59 | 5,000 | $7,953.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 9:50pm ET | $1.55 | 5,000 | $7,771.08 | $7,771.08 |
$-221.80 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.56 | 4,967 | $7,771.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.55 | 4,967 | $7,695.57 | $7,695.57 |
$-114.17 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.55 | 4,972 | $7,695.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1.53 | 4,972 | $7,610.06 | $7,610.06 |
$-123.78 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 11:35pm ET | $1.49 | 5,118 | $7,610.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 6:20am ET | $1.59 | 5,118 | $8,129.51 | $8,129.51 |
+$480.10 (+6.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET | $1.48 | 5,493 | $8,129.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.46 | 5,493 | $8,038.33 | $8,038.33 |
$-131.60 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 5:45pm ET | $1.27 | 6,306 | $8,038.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET | $1.31 | 6,306 | $8,241.39 | $8,241.39 |
+$162.36 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 7:30pm ET | $1.24 | 6,639 | $8,241.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30pm ET | $1.21 | 6,639 | $8,052.85 | $8,052.85 |
$-229.28 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:55am ET | $1.26 | 6,394 | $8,052.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 6:10am ET | $1.25 | 6,394 | $8,007.45 | $8,007.45 |
$-85.55 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.33 | 6,028 | $8,007.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.29 | 6,028 | $7,781.39 | $7,781.39 |
$-265.54 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,781.39
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,218.61
Total Return:
-22.19%