Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:53:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+9.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,135
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,567.28
Current Value
$8,007.38
Period P&L
$-877.77
Max Drawdown
-42.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
5 / 17
Best Trade
+10.03%
Worst Trade
-2.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$338,712.97
Estimated Fees
$846.78
Gross P&L
$-877.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,724.55
Gross Return
-11.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.79%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,567.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 5:45pm ET $1.27 6,306 $8,038.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.31 6,306 $8,241.39 $8,241.39 +$162.36
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 7:30pm ET $1.24 6,639 $8,241.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30pm ET $1.21 6,639 $8,052.85 $8,052.85 $-229.28
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:55am ET $1.26 6,394 $8,052.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 6:10am ET $1.25 6,394 $8,007.45 $8,007.45 $-85.55
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.33 6,028 $8,007.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.29 6,028 $7,781.39 $7,781.39 $-265.54
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
5 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.40 5,540 $7,781.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 4:10pm ET $1.40 5,540 $7,747.04 $7,747.04 $-73.17
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 4:40pm ET $1.31 5,928 $7,747.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 6:40pm ET $1.29 5,928 $7,655.75 $7,655.75 $-129.80
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $0.9851 7,772 $7,655.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET $0.9625 7,772 $7,480.11 $7,480.11 $-213.48
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $0.9886 7,566 $7,480.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:25pm ET $0.9866 7,566 $7,464.98 $7,464.98 $-52.50
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.8938 8,352 $7,464.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 4:00pm ET $0.8884 8,352 $7,419.88 $7,419.88 $-82.31
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 5:50am ET $0.8862 8,373 $7,419.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:00am ET $0.8762 8,373 $7,336.15 $7,336.15 $-120.62
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 5:15pm ET $0.8021 9,146 $7,336.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 7:15pm ET $0.7888 9,146 $7,214.51 $7,214.51 $-158.02
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:50am ET $0.8851 8,151 $7,214.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:45am ET $0.8790 8,151 $7,164.79 $7,164.79 $-85.67
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:05pm ET $0.9334 7,676 $7,164.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.9534 7,676 $7,318.31 $7,318.31 +$117.31
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
7.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 7:05am ET $0.9790 7,475 $7,318.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 9:30am ET $0.9661 7,475 $7,221.88 $7,221.88 $-132.78
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 8:30pm ET $1.01 7,150 $7,221.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 9:50pm ET $0.9861 7,150 $7,050.99 $7,050.99 $-206.58
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 8:55am ET $1.02 6,945 $7,050.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $1.09 6,945 $7,543.42 $7,543.42 +$455.94
(+7.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET $1.12 6,711 $7,543.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 5:55pm ET $1.24 6,711 $8,299.71 $8,299.71 +$716.68
(+10.0%)
TREND_BREAK
7h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 4:05pm ET $1.01 8,184 $8,299.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.9960 8,184 $8,151.57 $8,151.57 $-189.26
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.07 7,603 $8,151.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $1.06 7,603 $8,090.75 $8,090.75 $-101.43
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $1.14 7,082 $8,090.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.15 7,082 $8,124.04 $8,124.04 $-7.25
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 7:05pm ET $1.23 6,612 $8,124.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 8:45pm ET $1.20 6,612 $7,966.68 $7,966.68 $-197.59
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET $1.15 6,899 $7,966.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $1.16 6,899 $8,007.38 $8,007.38 +$0.77
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,007.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,992.62
Total Return: -19.93%
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