Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
2.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 5.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,321
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,652.18
Current Value
$10,079.55
Period P&L
$406.84
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+12.52%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.91%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$225,311.56
Estimated Fees
$563.28
Gross P&L
$406.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-156.44
Gross Return
+4.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.81%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,652.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:55pm ET $2,196.55 4 $9,109.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $2,231.06 4 $9,252.55 $9,252.55 +$97.21
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET $2,325.00 4 $9,252.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:15pm ET $2,367.79 4 $9,422.84 $9,422.84 +$123.60
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
3 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 5:00pm ET $2,144.22 4 $9,422.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 8:20pm ET $2,112.32 4 $9,282.65 $9,282.65 $-186.95
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1,688.36 5 $9,282.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:30pm ET $1,671.76 5 $9,191.38 $9,191.38 $-137.45
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1,727.32 5 $9,191.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 9:05pm ET $1,713.75 5 $9,119.17 $9,119.17 $-117.98
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:20am ET $1,815.48 5 $9,119.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,825.98 5 $9,171.91 $9,171.91 +$7.01
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,626.00 6 $9,171.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 4:50pm ET $1,617.54 6 $9,124.19 $9,124.19 $-93.46
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,706.02 5 $9,124.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,687.88 5 $9,027.17 $9,027.17 $-142.40
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 8:55am ET $1,859.17 5 $9,027.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,868.39 5 $9,071.94 $9,071.94 $-0.48
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET $2,000.97 5 $9,071.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $2,251.56 5 $10,208.06 $10,208.06 +$1,087.92
(+12.5%)
TREND_BREAK
10.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:50pm ET $2,519.99 4 $10,208.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35pm ET $2,515.39 4 $10,189.43 $10,189.43 $-69.63
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $2,577.02 4 $10,189.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $2,549.23 4 $10,079.55 $10,079.55 $-160.55
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,079.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$79.55
Total Return: +0.80%
Back to Trent Follower