Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 16.3/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,871.61
Current Value
$10,551.82
Period P&L
$680.18
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+8.06%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.21%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,288.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$680.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$680.18
Gross Return
+6.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,871.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $295.25 33 $9,743.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $297.88 33 $9,830.04 $9,958.34 +$86.70
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 31 $9,933.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $317.68 31 $9,848.08 $9,873.25 $-85.09
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 26 $9,721.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 26 $9,914.06 $10,065.39 +$192.14
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $357.14 28 $9,999.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $354.56 28 $9,927.68 $9,993.29 $-72.10
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $346.57 28 $9,703.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $374.51 28 $10,486.14 $10,775.47 +$782.18
(+8.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 30 $10,701.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:55am ET $349.27 30 $10,478.25 $10,551.82 $-223.65
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,551.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$551.82
Total Return: +5.52%
Back to Trent Follower