Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 17.7/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,577.88
Current Value
$10,401.75
Period P&L
$-176.12
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$186,825.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-176.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-176.12
Gross Return
-1.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,577.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 22 $10,339.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $464.58 22 $10,220.76 $10,458.85 $-119.02
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $476.56 21 $10,007.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $485.09 21 $10,186.89 $10,637.98 +$179.13
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $417.33 25 $10,433.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $414.40 25 $10,360.00 $10,564.73 $-73.25
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET $419.22 25 $10,480.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $422.46 25 $10,561.50 $10,645.73 +$81.00
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $404.58 26 $10,519.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $398.92 26 $10,371.92 $10,498.44 $-147.29
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $351.89 29 $10,204.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $357.12 29 $10,356.48 $10,650.11 +$151.67
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $371.06 28 $10,389.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $372.82 28 $10,438.96 $10,699.39 +$49.28
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $380.45 28 $10,652.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $376.16 28 $10,532.48 $10,579.27 $-120.12
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $374.04 28 $10,473.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $367.70 28 $10,295.60 $10,401.75 $-177.52
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,401.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$401.75
Total Return: +4.02%
Back to Trent Follower