MARA Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 43 trades in period
+70.24%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,333.20
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$5,482.49
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
67
+18.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+63 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,482.49
Current Value
$9,333.20
Period P&L
$3,850.63
Max Drawdown
-59.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
22 /
21
Best Trade
+10.81%
Worst Trade
-6.81%
Avg Trade Return
+1.34%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$616,392.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,850.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,850.63
Gross Return
+70.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+70.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,482.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.57 | 639 | $5,476.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $8.32 | 639 | $5,316.54 | $5,322.89 |
$-159.69 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $8.94 | 595 | $5,319.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $8.77 | 595 | $5,215.18 | $5,218.77 |
$-104.12 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.15 | 640 | $5,216.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.88 | 640 | $5,043.20 | $5,045.33 |
$-173.44 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $8.09 | 623 | $5,040.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $8.15 | 623 | $5,080.56 | $5,085.82 |
+$40.49 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $8.52 | 596 | $5,080.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $8.90 | 596 | $5,307.38 | $5,312.30 |
+$226.48 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $8.79 | 604 | $5,309.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET | $9.52 | 604 | $5,747.06 | $5,750.20 |
+$437.90 (+8.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $9.87 | 582 | $5,744.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $10.63 | 582 | $6,183.75 | $6,189.61 |
+$439.41 (+7.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.59 | 584 | $6,184.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $11.74 | 584 | $6,853.42 | $6,858.47 |
+$668.86 (+10.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $11.80 | 581 | $6,855.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.45 | 581 | $6,655.35 | $6,658.02 |
$-200.45 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.85 | 561 | $6,647.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $11.82 | 561 | $6,631.47 | $6,641.64 |
$-16.38 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.11 | 597 | $6,635.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $11.87 | 597 | $7,086.45 | $7,092.43 |
+$450.79 (+6.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.09 | 586 | $7,084.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $11.86 | 586 | $6,952.60 | $6,960.93 |
$-131.50 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $13.10 | 531 | $6,953.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.73 | 531 | $6,759.63 | $6,767.11 |
$-193.82 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $13.02 | 519 | $6,759.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $12.88 | 519 | $6,682.13 | $6,689.26 |
$-77.85 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $12.50 | 535 | $6,687.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $12.61 | 535 | $6,749.02 | $6,750.78 |
+$61.52 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $13.64 | 495 | $6,749.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $13.26 | 495 | $6,561.23 | $6,562.68 |
$-188.10 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:05pm ET | $12.38 | 530 | $6,558.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $13.31 | 530 | $7,055.36 | $7,059.29 |
+$496.61 (+7.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $14.07 | 501 | $7,049.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $13.90 | 501 | $6,961.40 | $6,971.62 |
$-87.67 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 1:35pm ET | $14.50 | 480 | $6,960.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.07 | 480 | $6,753.60 | $6,765.22 |
$-206.40 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $14.03 | 482 | $6,764.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.08 | 482 | $6,304.46 | $6,304.81 |
$-460.41 (-6.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.86 | 490 | $6,301.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $13.79 | 490 | $6,757.10 | $6,760.02 |
+$455.21 (+7.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:00pm ET | $13.45 | 502 | $6,751.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $13.93 | 502 | $6,992.86 | $7,000.98 |
+$240.96 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
22h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.51 | 482 | $6,991.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $15.21 | 482 | $7,331.22 | $7,340.79 |
+$339.81 (+4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $14.24 | 515 | $7,333.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $14.43 | 515 | $7,431.45 | $7,438.64 |
+$97.85 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.69 | 586 | $7,436.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $13.09 | 586 | $7,670.74 | $7,673.04 |
+$234.40 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.78 | 600 | $7,668.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $13.44 | 600 | $8,067.00 | $8,072.04 |
+$399.00 (+5.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $12.41 | 650 | $8,069.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.94 | 650 | $7,761.00 | $7,763.29 |
$-308.75 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.33 | 685 | $7,761.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $11.80 | 685 | $8,079.58 | $8,081.81 |
+$318.53 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $12.77 | 632 | $8,070.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $12.47 | 632 | $7,877.88 | $7,889.05 |
$-192.76 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $13.09 | 602 | $7,880.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $12.79 | 602 | $7,699.58 | $7,708.45 |
$-180.60 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $10.98 | 702 | $7,707.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $11.79 | 702 | $8,276.65 | $8,277.14 |
+$568.69 (+7.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $11.85 | 698 | $8,271.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $11.64 | 698 | $8,124.72 | $8,130.56 |
$-146.58 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.05 | 809 | $8,130.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $9.75 | 809 | $7,887.75 | $7,887.86 |
$-242.70 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.61 | 820 | $7,884.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $9.53 | 820 | $7,818.70 | $7,822.26 |
$-65.60 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.27 | 843 | $7,818.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $9.55 | 843 | $8,050.65 | $8,054.09 |
+$231.83 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.18 | 720 | $8,046.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.13 | 720 | $8,010.00 | $8,018.09 |
$-36.00 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.64 | 688 | $8,008.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET | $11.47 | 688 | $7,887.92 | $7,897.69 |
$-120.40 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.77 | 671 | $7,896.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $12.09 | 671 | $8,109.04 | $8,110.46 |
+$212.77 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.67 | 760 | $8,107.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $11.53 | 760 | $8,766.60 | $8,769.38 |
+$658.92 (+8.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $11.82 | 741 | $8,762.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $11.87 | 741 | $8,798.19 | $8,805.24 |
+$35.86 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $12.03 | 732 | $8,803.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $12.18 | 732 | $8,912.10 | $8,914.16 |
+$108.92 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.47 | 777 | $8,912.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.05 | 777 | $8,581.97 | $8,583.93 |
$-330.23 (-3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $12.31 | 697 | $8,580.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $13.39 | 697 | $9,329.35 | $9,333.20 |
+$749.27 (+8.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,333.20
Net Profit/Loss:
$-666.80
Total Return:
-6.67%