Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:30:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
2.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,124.68
Current Value
$10,077.94
Period P&L
$-46.74
Max Drawdown
-2.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+1.75%
Worst Trade
-1.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,469.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-46.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-46.74
Gross Return
-0.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,124.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $114.46 88 $10,072.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $112.47 88 $9,897.36 $9,949.56 $-175.12
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $120.86 82 $9,910.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $121.96 82 $10,001.13 $10,040.17 +$90.61
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $119.14 84 $10,007.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.88 84 $9,985.92 $10,018.67 $-21.50
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET $124.72 80 $9,977.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $123.32 80 $9,865.60 $9,906.67 $-112.00
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $148.34 66 $9,790.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $150.93 66 $9,961.38 $10,077.94 +$171.27
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,077.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$77.94
Total Return: +0.78%
Back to Trent Follower