Compendium › Trent Follower › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.86%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,633.65
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,917.14
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:54:56

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 55%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.55 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (55%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,917.14
Current Value
$9,633.65
Period P&L
$-283.49
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+0.47%
Worst Trade
-2.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,658.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-283.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-283.49
Gross Return
-2.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,917.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $168.99 58 $9,801.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $165.08 58 $9,574.64 $9,690.42 $-226.72
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.96 54 $9,555.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $175.60 54 $9,482.67 $9,617.25 $-73.17
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $191.65 50 $9,582.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $191.07 50 $9,553.50 $9,588.50 $-28.75
(-0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $226.94 42 $9,531.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $228.01 42 $9,576.63 $9,633.65 +$45.15
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,633.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-366.35
Total Return: -3.66%
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