MU Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-24 to present • 37 trades in period
+64.38%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,642.17
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$8,299.02
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality
28.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 28.0
30-Day Momentum
70
+21.4%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
4.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.9
Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,897
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-24 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,299.02
Current Value
$13,642.17
Period P&L
$5,343.16
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
21 /
16
Best Trade
+16.23%
Worst Trade
-3.29%
Avg Trade Return
+1.46%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$712,645.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,343.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,343.16
Gross Return
+64.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+64.38%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,299.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $286.90 | 28 | $8,033.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $285.98 | 28 | $8,007.44 | $8,273.25 |
$-25.76 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.59 | 27 | $8,169.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $314.84 | 27 | $8,500.68 | $8,604.00 |
+$330.75 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $333.22 | 25 | $8,330.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $340.65 | 25 | $8,516.13 | $8,789.62 |
+$185.62 (+2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $337.59 | 26 | $8,777.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $344.39 | 26 | $8,954.01 | $8,966.29 |
+$176.67 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $343.47 | 26 | $8,930.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $342.94 | 26 | $8,916.31 | $8,952.38 |
$-13.91 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.07 | 23 | $8,580.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $365.51 | 23 | $8,406.73 | $8,778.50 |
$-173.88 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $407.92 | 21 | $8,566.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET | $398.04 | 21 | $8,358.84 | $8,571.02 |
$-207.48 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $404.86 | 21 | $8,501.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $411.87 | 21 | $8,649.27 | $8,718.32 |
+$147.29 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $447.52 | 19 | $8,502.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $435.90 | 19 | $8,282.10 | $8,497.54 |
$-220.78 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
54m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $439.05 | 19 | $8,341.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $437.23 | 19 | $8,307.36 | $8,462.95 |
$-34.58 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $386.26 | 21 | $8,111.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $373.54 | 21 | $7,844.33 | $8,195.79 |
$-267.16 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $417.84 | 19 | $7,938.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $423.03 | 19 | $8,037.57 | $8,294.40 |
+$98.61 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $428.93 | 19 | $8,149.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $423.78 | 19 | $8,051.82 | $8,196.53 |
$-97.87 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $396.84 | 20 | $7,936.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $403.56 | 20 | $8,071.17 | $8,330.84 |
+$134.31 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $401.07 | 20 | $8,021.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $412.01 | 20 | $8,240.20 | $8,549.74 |
+$218.90 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.90 | 20 | $8,378.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $422.16 | 20 | $8,443.15 | $8,614.89 |
+$65.15 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 24 | $8,358.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $371.12 | 24 | $8,906.88 | $9,163.05 |
+$548.16 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.67 | 24 | $9,040.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.93 | 24 | $9,070.32 | $9,193.17 |
+$30.12 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 22 | $9,112.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $405.87 | 22 | $8,929.14 | $9,010.24 |
$-182.93 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 20 | $8,720.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $452.61 | 20 | $9,052.30 | $9,342.54 |
+$332.30 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.55 | 20 | $9,291.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 20 | $9,644.70 | $9,696.24 |
+$353.70 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $497.40 | 19 | $9,450.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $496.64 | 19 | $9,436.07 | $9,681.71 |
$-14.53 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 18 | $9,493.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $515.80 | 18 | $9,284.40 | $9,472.91 |
$-208.80 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $532.02 | 17 | $9,044.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $530.81 | 17 | $9,023.77 | $9,452.34 |
$-20.57 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 15 | $9,140.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $638.34 | 15 | $9,575.03 | $9,886.82 |
+$434.48 (+4.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $678.65 | 14 | $9,501.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $659.86 | 14 | $9,238.11 | $9,623.83 |
$-262.99 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $715.56 | 13 | $9,302.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $796.72 | 13 | $10,357.36 | $10,678.91 |
+$1,055.08 (+11.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $762.26 | 14 | $10,671.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $796.63 | 14 | $11,152.82 | $11,160.09 |
+$481.18 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $696.16 | 16 | $11,138.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $704.64 | 16 | $11,274.24 | $11,295.77 |
+$135.68 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $749.52 | 15 | $11,242.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $745.47 | 15 | $11,182.05 | $11,235.02 |
$-60.75 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $822.46 | 13 | $10,691.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.96 | 13 | $12,427.48 | $12,970.52 |
+$1,735.50 (+16.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $969.00 | 13 | $12,597.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $960.67 | 13 | $12,488.71 | $12,862.23 |
$-108.29 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 13 | $12,197.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $948.65 | 13 | $12,332.45 | $12,997.30 |
+$135.07 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $924.89 | 14 | $12,948.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $907.00 | 14 | $12,698.00 | $12,746.84 |
$-250.46 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $945.49 | 13 | $12,291.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $982.46 | 13 | $12,771.98 | $13,227.45 |
+$480.61 (+3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,070.60 | 12 | $12,847.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,079.21 | 12 | $12,950.58 | $13,330.83 |
+$103.38 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,108.30 | 12 | $13,299.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,134.24 | 12 | $13,610.94 | $13,642.17 |
+$311.34 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,642.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,642.17
Total Return:
+36.42%