MU Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+80.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,568.24
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$8,614.90
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
34.3/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.0
30-Day Momentum
1
-1.9%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,614.90
Current Value
$15,568.24
Period P&L
$6,953.34
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+16.23%
Worst Trade
-7.32%
Avg Trade Return
+1.77%
Avg Hold Time
9.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$892,097.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,953.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,953.34
Gross Return
+80.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+80.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,614.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.28 | 24 | $8,358.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $371.12 | 24 | $8,906.88 | $9,163.05 |
+$548.16 (+6.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $376.67 | 24 | $9,040.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $377.93 | 24 | $9,070.32 | $9,193.17 |
+$30.12 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 22 | $9,112.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $405.87 | 22 | $8,929.14 | $9,010.24 |
$-182.93 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.00 | 20 | $8,720.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $452.61 | 20 | $9,052.30 | $9,342.54 |
+$332.30 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $464.55 | 20 | $9,291.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 20 | $9,644.70 | $9,696.24 |
+$353.70 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $497.40 | 19 | $9,450.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $496.64 | 19 | $9,436.07 | $9,681.71 |
$-14.53 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 18 | $9,493.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $515.80 | 18 | $9,284.40 | $9,472.91 |
$-208.80 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $532.02 | 17 | $9,044.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $530.81 | 17 | $9,023.77 | $9,452.34 |
$-20.57 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 15 | $9,140.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $638.34 | 15 | $9,575.03 | $9,886.82 |
+$434.48 (+4.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $678.65 | 14 | $9,501.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 11:15am ET | $659.86 | 14 | $9,238.11 | $9,623.83 |
$-262.99 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $715.56 | 13 | $9,302.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $796.72 | 13 | $10,357.36 | $10,678.91 |
+$1,055.08 (+11.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $762.26 | 14 | $10,671.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $796.63 | 14 | $11,152.82 | $11,160.09 |
+$481.18 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:45am ET | $696.16 | 16 | $11,138.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $704.64 | 16 | $11,274.24 | $11,295.77 |
+$135.68 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $749.52 | 15 | $11,242.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $745.47 | 15 | $11,182.05 | $11,235.02 |
$-60.75 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $822.46 | 13 | $10,691.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.96 | 13 | $12,427.48 | $12,970.52 |
+$1,735.50 (+16.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $969.00 | 13 | $12,597.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $960.67 | 13 | $12,488.71 | $12,862.23 |
$-108.29 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $938.26 | 13 | $12,197.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $948.65 | 13 | $12,332.45 | $12,997.30 |
+$135.07 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $924.89 | 14 | $12,948.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $907.00 | 14 | $12,698.00 | $12,746.84 |
$-250.46 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $945.49 | 13 | $12,291.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $982.46 | 13 | $12,771.98 | $13,227.45 |
+$480.61 (+3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1,070.60 | 12 | $12,847.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,079.21 | 12 | $12,950.58 | $13,330.83 |
+$103.38 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,108.30 | 12 | $13,299.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,134.24 | 12 | $13,610.94 | $13,642.17 |
+$311.34 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 11 | $13,509.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,138.24 | 11 | $12,520.64 | $12,653.21 |
$-988.96 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1,125.47 | 11 | $12,380.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,146.35 | 11 | $12,609.85 | $12,882.93 |
+$229.71 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,003.49 | 12 | $12,041.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $998.94 | 12 | $11,987.28 | $12,828.27 |
$-54.66 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 12 | $12,148.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,017.81 | 12 | $12,213.72 | $12,893.07 |
+$64.80 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $977.69 | 13 | $12,709.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $979.50 | 13 | $12,733.50 | $12,916.61 |
+$23.54 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $877.28 | 14 | $12,281.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET | $876.28 | 14 | $12,267.99 | $12,902.68 |
$-13.93 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.08 | 13 | $12,103.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $967.87 | 13 | $12,582.32 | $13,381.03 |
+$478.35 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $796.56 | 16 | $12,744.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.58 | 16 | $14,681.20 | $15,317.27 |
+$1,936.24 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $861.74 | 17 | $14,649.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $893.53 | 17 | $15,190.09 | $15,857.78 |
+$540.51 (+3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.79 | 17 | $15,585.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $925.27 | 17 | $15,729.59 | $16,001.94 |
+$144.16 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,000.00 | 16 | $16,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1,019.54 | 16 | $16,312.64 | $16,314.58 |
+$312.64 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $987.11 | 16 | $15,793.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $959.42 | 16 | $15,350.72 | $15,871.54 |
$-443.04 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $946.35 | 16 | $15,141.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:50pm ET | $924.92 | 16 | $14,798.72 | $15,528.66 |
$-342.88 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $989.50 | 15 | $14,842.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $998.12 | 15 | $14,971.80 | $15,658.02 |
+$129.36 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $976.96 | 16 | $15,631.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $975.68 | 16 | $15,610.88 | $15,637.54 |
$-20.48 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,044.75 | 14 | $14,626.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,039.80 | 14 | $14,557.20 | $15,568.24 |
$-69.30 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,568.24
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,568.24
Total Return:
+55.68%