Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:22:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 7.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,387.60
Current Value
$8,463.97
Period P&L
$76.35
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+3.46%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
6.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$132,601.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$76.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$76.35
Gross Return
+0.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,387.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 45 $8,307.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $181.60 45 $8,172.00 $8,252.62 $-135.00
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $207.10 39 $8,076.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $208.47 39 $8,130.33 $8,306.25 +$53.63
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:55am ET $204.09 40 $8,163.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $211.15 40 $8,445.82 $8,588.47 +$282.22
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $227.04 37 $8,400.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $225.87 37 $8,357.01 $8,545.00 $-43.47
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $230.74 37 $8,537.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $225.51 37 $8,343.87 $8,351.67 $-193.33
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $221.12 37 $8,181.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $220.89 37 $8,172.93 $8,343.16 $-8.51
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $222.06 37 $8,216.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $226.96 37 $8,397.34 $8,524.28 +$181.12
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:10am ET $226.49 37 $8,380.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.86 37 $8,319.82 $8,463.97 $-60.31
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,463.97
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,536.03
Total Return: -15.36%
Back to Trent Follower