Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:54:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,677.39
Current Value
$11,862.97
Period P&L
$1,185.59
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
12 / 13
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
8.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$594,504.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,185.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,185.59
Gross Return
+11.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,677.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 70 $10,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $143.90 70 $10,073.35 $10,180.73 $-496.65
(-4.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $144.28 70 $10,099.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 70 $11,661.30 $11,742.43 +$1,561.70
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $169.17 69 $11,672.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $168.84 69 $11,649.96 $11,719.66 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $183.76 63 $11,576.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $178.63 63 $11,253.38 $11,396.16 $-323.50
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $182.85 62 $11,337.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $183.36 62 $11,368.32 $11,427.47 +$31.31
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $169.17 67 $11,334.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $172.14 67 $11,533.38 $11,626.46 +$198.99
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $192.95 60 $11,576.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $194.81 60 $11,688.60 $11,738.07 +$111.61
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
8 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $195.82 59 $11,553.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $195.77 59 $11,550.43 $11,735.36 $-2.71
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $196.59 59 $11,598.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $202.87 59 $11,969.33 $12,105.79 +$370.43
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.84 52 $12,055.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $244.72 52 $12,725.44 $12,775.47 +$669.68
(+5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $219.96 58 $12,757.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $212.84 58 $12,344.43 $12,362.22 $-413.25
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $211.85 58 $12,287.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $204.99 58 $11,889.42 $11,964.34 $-397.88
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $184.69 64 $11,820.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $179.74 64 $11,503.36 $11,647.54 $-316.80
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:55am ET $189.65 61 $11,568.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $193.67 61 $11,813.87 $11,892.76 +$245.22
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $144.09 82 $11,815.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.93 82 $11,884.67 $11,962.05 +$69.29
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.11 98 $11,868.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $118.64 98 $11,626.23 $11,719.50 $-242.55
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.26 95 $11,709.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $126.19 95 $11,988.52 $11,998.32 +$278.82
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $135.95 88 $11,963.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $146.13 88 $12,859.44 $12,894.16 +$895.84
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 84 $12,862.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $152.24 84 $12,788.16 $12,819.40 $-74.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $147.07 87 $12,795.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.82 87 $12,773.34 $12,797.65 $-21.75
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.95 84 $12,679.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $147.35 84 $12,377.40 $12,495.25 $-302.40
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $150.99 82 $12,381.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.37 82 $12,658.38 $12,772.45 +$277.20
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 76 $12,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $162.78 76 $12,371.28 $12,394.73 $-377.72
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 75 $12,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 75 $11,658.36 $11,774.09 $-620.64
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $148.68 79 $11,745.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $149.80 79 $11,834.59 $11,862.97 +$88.88
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,862.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,862.97
Total Return: +18.63%
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