Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
7.2/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 13.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 12.8

30-Day Momentum

20
+2.5%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.8 Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,881.12
Current Value
$10,644.54
Period P&L
$763.39
Max Drawdown
-30.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+12.65%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$384,556.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$763.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$763.39
Gross Return
+7.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,881.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $146.99 67 $9,848.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $145.02 67 $9,716.17 $9,748.66 $-132.49
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 62 $9,595.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $148.38 62 $9,199.56 $9,352.79 $-395.87
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $131.90 70 $9,233.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $132.83 70 $9,298.10 $9,417.54 +$64.75
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $151.84 62 $9,414.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $149.73 62 $9,283.26 $9,286.72 $-130.82
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.1h held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 64 $9,212.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $144.13 64 $9,224.00 $9,297.92 +$11.20
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $137.79 67 $9,231.93 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $137.84 67 $9,234.95 $9,300.94 +$3.02
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $138.47 67 $9,277.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $155.98 67 $10,450.65 $10,474.10 +$1,173.16
(+12.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:40am ET $133.35 78 $10,400.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $133.48 78 $10,411.44 $10,484.63 +$10.53
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $110.96 94 $10,430.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $112.79 94 $10,602.26 $10,656.65 +$172.02
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.07 87 $10,620.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $126.52 87 $11,007.50 $11,043.92 +$387.27
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 83 $10,938.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $127.76 83 $10,604.49 $10,709.85 $-334.07
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET $133.69 80 $10,695.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $133.36 80 $10,668.80 $10,683.45 $-26.40
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $127.83 83 $10,609.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $123.45 83 $10,246.46 $10,320.02 $-363.43
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 81 $10,269.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $125.47 81 $10,163.47 $10,214.31 $-105.71
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $164.20 62 $10,180.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $169.57 62 $10,513.03 $10,546.94 +$332.63
(+3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET $181.44 58 $10,523.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $178.66 58 $10,362.28 $10,385.70 $-161.24
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $184.36 56 $10,324.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $185.93 56 $10,411.80 $10,473.34 +$87.64
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 59 $10,467.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $182.66 59 $10,776.94 $10,783.09 +$309.75
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $193.15 55 $10,623.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $190.63 55 $10,484.70 $10,644.54 $-138.55
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,644.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$644.54
Total Return: +6.45%
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