RIOT Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 48 trades in period
-6.31%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,926.80
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,528.18
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
64
+18.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.6
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+59 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,528.18
Current Value
$8,926.80
Period P&L
$-601.31
Max Drawdown
-45.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
19 /
29
Best Trade
+18.53%
Worst Trade
-8.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$917,479.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-601.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-601.31
Gross Return
-6.31%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.31%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,528.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $14.82 | 642 | $9,514.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:45am ET | $14.64 | 642 | $9,395.67 | $9,409.35 |
$-118.77 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.31 | 764 | $9,404.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $12.72 | 764 | $9,714.26 | $9,718.77 |
+$309.42 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $13.55 | 717 | $9,711.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $13.40 | 717 | $9,607.08 | $9,614.09 |
$-104.68 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $15.49 | 620 | $9,603.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $15.99 | 620 | $9,916.90 | $9,927.19 |
+$313.10 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.99 | 551 | $9,912.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $18.44 | 551 | $10,163.19 | $10,177.89 |
+$250.70 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.64 | 576 | $10,160.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $16.91 | 576 | $9,737.28 | $9,754.53 |
$-423.36 (-4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
20m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $17.25 | 565 | $9,746.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.78 | 565 | $10,045.70 | $10,053.98 |
+$299.45 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $18.44 | 545 | $10,049.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $17.99 | 545 | $9,804.55 | $9,808.73 |
$-245.25 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $18.40 | 533 | $9,807.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $18.31 | 533 | $9,759.23 | $9,760.76 |
$-47.97 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.87 | 517 | $9,755.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $18.30 | 517 | $9,461.10 | $9,466.07 |
$-294.69 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.24 | 582 | $9,451.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.25 | 582 | $11,203.50 | $11,217.89 |
+$1,751.82 (+18.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.40 | 578 | $11,210.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $19.43 | 578 | $11,230.54 | $11,238.12 |
+$20.23 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.42 | 460 | $11,234.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.38 | 460 | $10,752.50 | $10,756.27 |
$-481.85 (-4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.95 | 431 | $10,753.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $25.46 | 431 | $10,973.26 | $10,976.08 |
+$219.81 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $23.59 | 465 | $10,969.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $23.87 | 465 | $11,099.55 | $11,106.28 |
+$130.20 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.65 | 432 | $11,080.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.00 | 432 | $11,229.84 | $11,255.32 |
+$149.04 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.31 | 412 | $11,251.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $27.93 | 412 | $11,507.16 | $11,510.76 |
+$255.44 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $28.20 | 408 | $11,505.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $28.35 | 408 | $11,566.80 | $11,571.96 |
+$61.20 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.50 | 406 | $11,571.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.46 | 406 | $11,148.72 | $11,149.68 |
$-422.28 (-3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $28.04 | 397 | $11,131.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.47 | 397 | $10,905.59 | $10,923.39 |
$-226.29 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.26 | 432 | $10,912.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $24.43 | 432 | $10,553.80 | $10,564.87 |
$-358.52 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.74 | 427 | $10,563.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:05pm ET | $24.83 | 427 | $10,600.28 | $10,601.17 |
+$36.30 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.41 | 373 | $10,596.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $27.67 | 373 | $10,320.91 | $10,325.15 |
$-276.02 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $28.71 | 359 | $10,306.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.61 | 359 | $9,911.99 | $9,930.25 |
$-394.90 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.17 | 340 | $9,917.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $28.52 | 340 | $9,698.50 | $9,710.95 |
$-219.30 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.36 | 342 | $9,700.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.67 | 342 | $9,119.43 | $9,129.55 |
$-581.40 (-6.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $28.28 | 322 | $9,107.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $28.22 | 322 | $9,085.23 | $9,107.01 |
$-22.54 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.75 | 400 | $9,100.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.29 | 400 | $9,316.00 | $9,323.01 |
+$216.00 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.00 | 423 | $9,306.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $21.78 | 423 | $9,212.94 | $9,229.95 |
$-93.06 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.42 | 451 | $9,211.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $19.82 | 451 | $8,938.82 | $8,957.10 |
$-272.85 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $20.50 | 436 | $8,937.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $19.94 | 436 | $8,693.88 | $8,713.41 |
$-243.68 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:05pm ET | $19.02 | 457 | $8,694.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $18.58 | 457 | $8,491.06 | $8,510.05 |
$-203.36 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $20.49 | 415 | $8,501.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $21.22 | 415 | $8,806.30 | $8,815.07 |
+$305.02 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.33 | 362 | $8,807.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $24.07 | 362 | $8,711.53 | $8,719.14 |
$-95.93 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.10 | 433 | $8,705.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $22.31 | 433 | $9,660.23 | $9,673.90 |
+$954.76 (+11.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $21.26 | 455 | $9,673.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $20.73 | 455 | $9,429.88 | $9,430.48 |
$-243.42 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.87 | 412 | $9,422.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $22.21 | 412 | $9,150.52 | $9,158.56 |
$-271.92 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.38 | 391 | $9,141.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $21.41 | 391 | $8,371.31 | $8,388.29 |
$-770.27 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $20.87 | 401 | $8,368.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $20.76 | 401 | $8,324.76 | $8,344.18 |
$-44.11 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $19.37 | 430 | $8,329.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:20pm ET | $19.02 | 430 | $8,176.58 | $8,191.66 |
$-152.52 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.94 | 373 | $8,183.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $20.63 | 373 | $7,694.99 | $7,702.99 |
$-488.67 (-6.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $20.66 | 372 | $7,685.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $20.26 | 372 | $7,536.53 | $7,554.00 |
$-148.99 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $21.45 | 352 | $7,548.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $21.03 | 352 | $7,404.32 | $7,409.43 |
$-144.57 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $18.56 | 399 | $7,403.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.81 | 399 | $8,303.19 | $8,309.17 |
+$899.74 (+12.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $22.31 | 372 | $8,299.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.41 | 372 | $8,336.52 | $8,346.37 |
+$37.20 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $21.87 | 381 | $8,332.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $21.54 | 381 | $8,208.42 | $8,222.43 |
$-123.94 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $20.50 | 401 | $8,220.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $20.55 | 401 | $8,240.55 | $8,242.48 |
+$20.05 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.62 | 364 | $8,233.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $24.50 | 364 | $8,918.00 | $8,926.80 |
+$684.32 (+8.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,926.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,073.20
Total Return:
-10.73%