SHIBUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 35 trades in period
-36.27%
Last 6 Months Return
$3,878.16
Current Value
17%
Win Rate
$5,578.14
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality
2.1/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 2.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,280
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,578.14
Current Value
$3,878.16
Period P&L
$-2,023.09
Max Drawdown
-73.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
6 /
29
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$347,695.71
Estimated Fees
$869.24
Gross P&L
$-2,023.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,892.33
Gross Return
-36.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-51.85%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,578.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET | $0.00000960 | 581,057,287 | $5,578.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 6:05pm ET | $0.00001012 | 581,057,287 | $5,880.30 | $5,851.65 |
+$273.50 (+5.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:55pm ET | $0.00000834 | 701,637,125 | $5,851.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 5:15pm ET | $0.00000836 | 701,637,125 | $5,865.69 | $5,836.39 |
$-15.26 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 5:50pm ET | $0.00000876 | 666,254,910 | $5,836.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 8:20pm ET | $0.00000871 | 666,254,910 | $5,803.08 | $5,773.98 |
$-62.41 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 4:30am ET | $0.00000905 | 638,009,015 | $5,773.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 6:10am ET | $0.00000890 | 638,009,015 | $5,678.28 | $5,649.65 |
$-124.33 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $0.00000831 | 679,861,562 | $5,649.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 2:05pm ET | $0.00000848 | 679,861,562 | $5,765.23 | $5,736.69 |
+$87.04 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:50am ET | $0.00000928 | 618,177,678 | $5,736.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET | $0.00000910 | 618,177,678 | $5,625.42 | $5,597.01 |
$-139.68 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:30am ET | $0.00000894 | 626,063,938 | $5,597.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:25pm ET | $0.00000886 | 626,063,938 | $5,546.93 | $5,519.07 |
$-77.94 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:25pm ET | $0.00000732 | 753,970,854 | $5,519.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $0.00000747 | 753,970,854 | $5,632.16 | $5,604.28 |
+$85.22 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
14.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $0.00000802 | 698,788,554 | $5,604.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $0.00000802 | 698,788,554 | $5,604.28 | $5,576.26 |
$-28.02 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $0.00000924 | 603,491,643 | $5,576.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $0.00000908 | 603,491,643 | $5,479.70 | $5,452.06 |
$-124.20 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000905 | 602,438,034 | $5,452.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:20pm ET | $0.00000936 | 602,438,034 | $5,638.82 | $5,611.09 |
+$159.03 (+3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.00000961 | 583,880,623 | $5,611.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:50pm ET | $0.00000939 | 583,880,623 | $5,482.64 | $5,454.90 |
$-156.19 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 5:15pm ET | $0.00000908 | 600,760,431 | $5,454.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 8:15pm ET | $0.00000896 | 600,760,431 | $5,382.81 | $5,355.72 |
$-99.19 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 4:10pm ET | $0.00000860 | 622,758,043 | $5,355.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 7:30pm ET | $0.00000854 | 622,758,043 | $5,318.35 | $5,291.67 |
$-64.05 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $0.00000805 | 657,350,125 | $5,291.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:35pm ET | $0.00000803 | 657,350,125 | $5,278.52 | $5,252.10 |
$-39.57 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.00000681 | 771,232,897 | $5,252.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 10:20pm ET | $0.00000680 | 771,232,897 | $5,244.38 | $5,218.14 |
$-33.95 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.00000701 | 744,385,521 | $5,218.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $0.00000690 | 744,385,521 | $5,136.26 | $5,110.37 |
$-107.77 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000690 | 740,633,925 | $5,110.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.00000671 | 740,633,925 | $4,969.65 | $4,944.45 |
$-165.92 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:00pm ET | $0.00000582 | 849,562,469 | $4,944.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $0.00000581 | 849,562,469 | $4,935.96 | $4,911.26 |
$-33.20 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $0.00000628 | 782,047,280 | $4,911.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $0.00000621 | 782,047,280 | $4,856.51 | $4,832.09 |
$-79.16 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET | $0.00000601 | 804,008,319 | $4,832.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $0.00000582 | 804,008,319 | $4,679.33 | $4,679.33 |
$-176.54 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000650 | 719,896,923 | $4,679.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000631 | 719,896,923 | $4,542.55 | $4,542.55 |
$-159.84 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET | $0.00000610 | 744,680,328 | $4,542.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 10:35pm ET | $0.00000600 | 744,680,328 | $4,468.08 | $4,468.08 |
$-96.99 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000629 | 710,346,582 | $4,468.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.00000638 | 710,346,582 | $4,532.01 | $4,532.01 |
+$41.43 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.00000570 | 795,089,474 | $4,532.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $0.00000564 | 795,089,474 | $4,484.30 | $4,484.30 |
$-70.25 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 4:20am ET | $0.00000568 | 789,489,437 | $4,484.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET | $0.00000554 | 789,489,437 | $4,373.77 | $4,373.77 |
$-132.67 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $0.00000582 | 751,506,873 | $4,373.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $0.00000579 | 751,506,873 | $4,351.22 | $4,351.22 |
$-44.36 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $0.00000595 | 731,297,479 | $4,351.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:55pm ET | $0.00000593 | 731,297,479 | $4,336.59 | $4,336.59 |
$-36.35 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 8:00am ET | $0.00000624 | 694,966,995 | $4,336.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $0.00000614 | 694,966,995 | $4,267.10 | $4,267.10 |
$-91.01 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 4:05am ET | $0.00000642 | 664,656,908 | $4,267.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 4:30am ET | $0.00000624 | 664,656,908 | $4,147.46 | $4,147.46 |
$-140.67 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.00000619 | 670,025,704 | $4,147.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:35am ET | $0.00000602 | 670,025,704 | $4,033.55 | $4,033.55 |
$-134.36 (-2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $0.00000599 | 673,380,634 | $4,033.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $0.00000604 | 673,380,634 | $4,067.22 | $4,067.22 |
+$13.42 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 5, 2026 8:25pm ET | $0.00000608 | 668,950,658 | $4,067.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 5, 2026 11:25pm ET | $0.00000601 | 668,950,658 | $4,020.39 | $4,020.39 |
$-67.05 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:20am ET | $0.00000644 | 624,284,161 | $4,020.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000635 | 624,284,161 | $3,964.20 | $3,964.20 |
$-76.15 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 5:55am ET | $0.00000645 | 614,604,651 | $3,964.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 8:05am ET | $0.00000631 | 614,604,651 | $3,878.16 | $3,878.16 |
$-105.65 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,878.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,121.84
Total Return:
-61.22%