Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:21:03

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

1
-5.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,732.65
Current Value
$7,164.99
Period P&L
$-567.68
Max Drawdown
-27.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+8.97%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
10.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$388,467.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-567.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-567.68
Gross Return
-7.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,732.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $165.26 46 $7,602.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $162.27 46 $7,464.42 $7,594.90 $-137.77
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 48 $7,526.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $152.66 48 $7,327.92 $7,396.42 $-198.48
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $124.58 59 $7,350.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $135.75 59 $8,009.25 $8,055.45 +$659.03
(+9.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $150.29 53 $7,965.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $143.91 53 $7,627.23 $7,717.31 $-338.14
(-4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $144.31 53 $7,648.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $144.43 53 $7,654.79 $7,723.67 +$6.36
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $142.24 54 $7,680.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $138.92 54 $7,501.68 $7,544.66 $-179.01
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
7 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 49 $7,527.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $151.70 49 $7,433.06 $7,450.09 $-94.57
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
8 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:15am ET $156.09 47 $7,336.23 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $157.51 47 $7,402.97 $7,516.83 +$66.74
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $171.80 43 $7,387.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:45am ET $168.29 43 $7,236.47 $7,365.90 $-150.93
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $171.94 42 $7,221.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $171.82 42 $7,216.44 $7,360.86 $-5.04
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 31 $7,219.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $241.62 31 $7,490.30 $7,631.26 +$270.40
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $260.11 29 $7,543.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $266.74 29 $7,735.60 $7,823.68 +$192.42
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $245.90 31 $7,623.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $240.68 31 $7,460.93 $7,661.55 $-162.13
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $243.98 31 $7,563.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $242.65 31 $7,522.00 $7,620.17 $-41.38
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:30am ET $242.99 31 $7,532.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $240.37 31 $7,451.47 $7,538.95 $-81.22
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET $239.62 31 $7,428.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET $233.02 31 $7,223.62 $7,334.35 $-204.60
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $238.15 30 $7,144.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $251.71 30 $7,551.45 $7,741.45 +$407.10
(+5.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $261.39 29 $7,580.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $260.42 29 $7,552.18 $7,713.18 $-28.27
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:30am ET $273.74 28 $7,664.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $270.61 28 $7,577.22 $7,625.68 $-87.50
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $277.05 27 $7,480.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $271.99 27 $7,343.73 $7,489.19 $-136.49
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $311.93 24 $7,486.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $310.39 24 $7,449.36 $7,452.23 $-36.96
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET $330.08 22 $7,261.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $334.92 22 $7,368.24 $7,558.71 +$106.48
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $327.30 23 $7,527.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.00 23 $7,613.00 $7,643.81 +$85.10
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $378.60 20 $7,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $368.70 20 $7,374.10 $7,445.91 $-197.90
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $335.92 22 $7,390.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $332.72 22 $7,319.84 $7,375.62 $-70.29
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $345.39 21 $7,253.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET $335.36 21 $7,042.56 $7,164.99 $-210.63
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,164.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,835.01
Total Return: -28.35%
Back to Trent Follower