Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,479.67
Current Value
$7,800.59
Period P&L
$-679.09
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
7 / 15
Best Trade
+9.76%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$338,510.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-679.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-679.09
Gross Return
-8.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,479.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $15.65 541 $8,469.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $15.63 541 $8,455.78 $8,466.10 $-13.58
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $16.24 521 $8,461.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $16.14 521 $8,406.39 $8,411.45 $-54.65
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 475 $8,409.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.62 475 $7,894.50 $7,896.08 $-515.37
(-6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 450 $7,893.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.82 450 $8,018.87 $8,021.94 +$125.86
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.51 411 $8,018.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.05 411 $7,829.51 $7,832.84 $-189.10
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $19.07 410 $7,816.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $18.70 410 $7,669.05 $7,685.24 $-147.60
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:25am ET $16.34 470 $7,682.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.06 470 $7,545.85 $7,548.94 $-136.30
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:15am ET $16.25 464 $7,537.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.96 464 $7,405.44 $7,416.70 $-132.24
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:15am ET $16.28 455 $7,407.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:10am ET $15.71 455 $7,148.10 $7,157.40 $-259.30
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
10 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 433 $7,146.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $16.02 433 $6,938.82 $6,949.56 $-207.84
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:55am ET $16.89 411 $6,939.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $18.32 411 $7,529.52 $7,539.34 +$589.78
(+8.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $16.88 446 $7,528.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $16.44 446 $7,334.47 $7,345.33 $-194.01
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $17.99 408 $7,339.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.83 408 $7,272.60 $7,277.97 $-67.36
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $18.66 390 $7,277.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $18.78 390 $7,326.15 $7,326.76 +$48.79
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $18.08 405 $7,322.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET $18.66 405 $7,556.37 $7,560.73 +$233.97
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET $18.79 402 $7,552.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $18.38 402 $7,389.56 $7,397.96 $-162.77
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $17.20 429 $7,380.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.94 429 $7,267.22 $7,284.23 $-113.73
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET $16.95 429 $7,271.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $18.60 429 $7,981.54 $7,994.22 +$709.99
(+9.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:00am ET $18.53 431 $7,988.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.38 431 $7,921.78 $7,927.41 $-66.81
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $18.51 428 $7,922.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.94 428 $8,106.32 $8,111.41 +$184.00
(+2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET $17.77 456 $8,105.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.83 456 $8,132.76 $8,138.77 +$27.36
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.77 457 $8,123.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $17.03 457 $7,784.99 $7,800.59 $-338.18
(-4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,800.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,199.41
Total Return: -21.99%
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