Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.9/10
Raw Quality 1.9/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 1.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,936.85
Current Value
$5,979.35
Period P&L
$-957.50
Max Drawdown
-32.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.69

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
-1.46%
Avg Hold Time
20h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$130,636.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-957.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-957.50
Gross Return
-13.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $6,936.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $59.78 116 $6,934.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.91 116 $6,949.56 $6,951.93 +$15.08
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $57.63 120 $6,915.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $55.35 120 $6,642.00 $6,678.33 $-273.60
(-4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:35am ET $38.70 172 $6,656.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $38.44 172 $6,611.68 $6,633.61 $-44.72
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $37.46 177 $6,630.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $38.23 177 $6,766.71 $6,769.92 +$136.31
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $40.20 168 $6,753.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $39.85 168 $6,693.96 $6,710.28 $-59.64
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $38.74 173 $6,702.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.22 173 $6,439.04 $6,447.30 $-262.98
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $39.45 163 $6,430.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.82 163 $6,327.66 $6,344.61 $-102.69
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.09 166 $6,322.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $37.34 166 $6,198.44 $6,220.11 $-124.50
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $38.24 162 $6,195.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.56 162 $6,247.53 $6,272.57 +$52.46
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.02 169 $6,256.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $35.28 169 $5,963.16 $5,979.35 $-293.22
(-4.7%)
TREND_BREAK
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,979.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,020.65
Total Return: -40.21%
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