Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:05:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,936.43
Current Value
$7,854.40
Period P&L
$-2,082.06
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
2 / 14
Best Trade
+7.11%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,703.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,082.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,082.06
Gross Return
-20.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,936.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.39 280 $9,909.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET $34.08 280 $9,541.00 $9,568.26 $-368.20
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $35.51 269 $9,550.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $38.03 269 $10,230.07 $10,247.48 +$679.22
(+7.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $36.83 278 $10,238.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $34.96 278 $9,718.88 $9,727.62 $-519.86
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET $35.25 275 $9,693.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $35.17 275 $9,671.75 $9,705.62 $-22.00
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.85 314 $9,688.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $29.71 314 $9,328.94 $9,346.09 $-359.53
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
6 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $29.14 320 $9,323.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $28.70 320 $9,184.00 $9,206.89 $-139.20
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $24.74 372 $9,203.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $24.61 372 $9,154.92 $9,158.53 $-48.36
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $25.65 357 $9,157.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $25.40 357 $9,066.02 $9,066.67 $-91.86
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $23.76 381 $9,052.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $22.83 381 $8,698.23 $8,712.34 $-354.33
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $24.06 362 $8,707.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $23.44 362 $8,485.28 $8,489.71 $-222.63
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.20 350 $8,470.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET $23.48 350 $8,218.00 $8,237.71 $-252.00
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:40am ET $22.40 367 $8,220.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $22.17 367 $8,136.39 $8,153.30 $-84.41
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $22.69 359 $8,147.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.18 359 $7,962.62 $7,968.42 $-184.88
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.54 353 $7,956.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $22.84 353 $8,062.52 $8,074.31 +$105.90
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $22.76 354 $8,057.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $22.64 354 $8,013.46 $8,030.74 $-43.58
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 430 $8,015.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET $18.23 430 $7,838.86 $7,854.40 $-176.34
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,854.40
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,145.60
Total Return: -21.46%
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