Compendium › Trent Follower › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 24 trades in period

-10.30%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,520.22
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$5,165.16
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 07:53:01

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.6%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,135
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,165.16
Current Value
$5,520.22
Period P&L
$-532.02
Max Drawdown
-50.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
8 / 16
Best Trade
+15.57%
Worst Trade
-7.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$278,395.20
Estimated Fees
$695.99
Gross P&L
$-532.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,228.01
Gross Return
-10.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.77%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,165.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:50pm ET $1.36 3,926 $5,356.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.37 3,926 $5,380.54 $5,380.54 $-2.54
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1.51 3,572 $5,380.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.49 3,572 $5,307.39 $5,307.39 $-99.87
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $1.49 3,556 $5,307.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 4:15pm ET $1.48 3,556 $5,250.59 $5,250.59 $-83.19
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $1.52 3,445 $5,250.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 4:20pm ET $1.50 3,445 $5,175.45 $5,175.45 $-101.20
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 5:05am ET $1.17 4,439 $5,175.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:35am ET $1.14 4,439 $5,054.96 $5,054.96 $-146.06
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET $1.17 4,308 $5,054.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $1.18 4,308 $5,091.80 $5,091.80 +$11.47
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 7:50am ET $1.23 4,146 $5,091.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $1.28 4,146 $5,286.23 $5,286.23 +$168.48
(+3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $1.06 5,001 $5,286.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 7:05pm ET $1.09 5,001 $5,474.77 $5,474.77 +$161.64
(+3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 4:40am ET $1.15 4,765 $5,474.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $1.33 4,765 $6,316.93 $6,316.93 +$812.68
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $1.34 4,705 $6,316.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $1.27 4,705 $5,975.84 $5,975.84 $-371.83
(-5.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:30am ET $1.36 4,405 $5,975.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:50am ET $1.37 4,405 $6,013.77 $6,013.77 +$7.95
(+0.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $1.43 4,217 $6,013.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 12:40am ET $1.65 4,217 $6,950.23 $6,950.23 +$904.05
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:45am ET $1.64 4,228 $6,950.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $1.52 4,228 $6,434.34 $6,434.34 $-549.35
(-7.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2026 10:10am ET $1.55 4,153 $6,434.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 10:40am ET $1.50 4,153 $6,223.15 $6,223.15 $-242.83
(-3.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:25pm ET $1.54 4,041 $6,223.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00am ET $1.51 4,041 $6,106.64 $6,106.64 $-147.34
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $1.43 4,258 $6,106.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 5:40pm ET $1.47 4,258 $6,245.68 $6,245.68 +$108.15
(+2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $1.39 4,496 $6,245.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $1.37 4,496 $6,158.23 $6,158.23 $-118.46
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $1.48 4,175 $6,158.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 5:05pm ET $1.45 4,175 $6,065.05 $6,065.05 $-123.74
(-1.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:05am ET $1.45 4,176 $6,065.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $1.40 4,176 $5,859.74 $5,859.74 $-235.13
(-3.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
40m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:35am ET $1.38 4,261 $5,859.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 6:30pm ET $1.40 4,261 $5,962.30 $5,962.30 +$73.01
(+1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
7.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:50am ET $1.48 4,019 $5,962.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $1.48 4,019 $5,959.33 $5,959.33 $-32.78
(-0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 6:15pm ET $1.57 3,787 $5,959.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.54 3,787 $5,815.34 $5,815.34 $-173.42
(-2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $1.59 3,662 $5,815.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $1.54 3,662 $5,651.08 $5,651.08 $-192.93
(-2.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:15am ET $1.65 3,428 $5,651.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:50am ET $1.61 3,428 $5,520.22 $5,520.22 $-158.78
(-2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,520.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,479.78
Total Return: -44.80%
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