Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:56

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
54,947
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,079.56
Current Value
$6,336.02
Total P&L
$-1,743.58
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
64
Winners / Losers
25 / 39
Best Trade
+9.90%
Worst Trade
-6.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
6.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$910,230.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,743.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,743.58
Gross Return
-21.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,079.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET $40.70 198 $8,057.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 3:35pm ET $41.47 198 $8,211.06 $8,233.02 +$153.45
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $39.09 210 $8,207.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 11:30am ET $38.17 210 $8,014.65 $8,039.82 $-193.20
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $38.05 211 $8,027.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:45pm ET $37.71 211 $7,955.76 $7,968.08 $-71.74
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 10:15am ET $40.39 197 $7,956.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 12:35pm ET $39.86 197 $7,853.11 $7,864.34 $-103.74
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 12:35pm ET $43.07 182 $7,838.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 3:40pm ET $42.78 182 $7,785.96 $7,811.56 $-52.78
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 9:30am ET $41.29 189 $7,803.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 9:35am ET $42.06 189 $7,949.34 $7,957.21 +$145.64
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 11:00am ET $40.75 195 $7,945.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2024 2:45pm ET $40.79 195 $7,953.08 $7,965.01 +$7.80
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $40.87 194 $7,928.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $41.71 194 $8,091.74 $8,127.97 +$162.96
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $49.76 163 $8,110.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $51.56 163 $8,404.28 $8,421.35 +$293.38
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:30am ET $43.89 191 $8,382.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 12:50pm ET $43.82 191 $8,369.62 $8,408.94 $-12.41
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:45am ET $42.62 197 $8,396.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $42.38 197 $8,348.86 $8,361.66 $-47.28
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 3:05pm ET $39.47 211 $8,327.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $37.06 211 $7,819.66 $7,854.20 $-507.46
(-6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:35am ET $38.04 206 $7,835.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $38.09 206 $7,846.54 $7,865.53 +$11.33
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 9:35am ET $40.38 194 $7,833.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 1:15pm ET $40.47 194 $7,851.18 $7,882.99 +$17.46
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 10:40am ET $34.29 229 $7,852.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 2:15pm ET $34.31 229 $7,856.99 $7,887.18 +$4.19
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET $32.35 243 $7,861.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 12:45pm ET $32.41 243 $7,875.63 $7,901.76 +$14.58
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $34.24 230 $7,875.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $34.48 230 $7,930.40 $7,956.96 +$55.20
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
20.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 11:00am ET $33.47 237 $7,932.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $33.16 237 $7,858.92 $7,883.49 $-73.47
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $35.68 220 $7,849.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $35.80 220 $7,876.00 $7,909.91 +$26.42
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $38.51 205 $7,893.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 1:35pm ET $37.77 205 $7,742.85 $7,759.24 $-150.68
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 10:45am ET $35.23 220 $7,750.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 3:35pm ET $35.62 220 $7,835.30 $7,843.94 +$84.70
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 9:30am ET $37.33 210 $7,838.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $37.05 210 $7,780.50 $7,786.19 $-57.75
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 9:50am ET $40.66 191 $7,766.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 12:45pm ET $40.31 191 $7,699.21 $7,719.34 $-66.85
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $41.95 184 $7,717.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 3:00pm ET $42.34 184 $7,789.64 $7,791.10 +$71.76
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 10:35am ET $45.69 170 $7,767.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 1:45pm ET $45.40 170 $7,718.00 $7,741.80 $-49.30
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $48.61 159 $7,728.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:15am ET $46.73 159 $7,430.07 $7,442.88 $-298.92
(-3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
42m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET $36.37 204 $7,419.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 12:05pm ET $35.62 204 $7,266.46 $7,289.86 $-153.02
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $34.54 211 $7,287.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $34.41 211 $7,260.51 $7,262.43 $-27.43
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET $35.52 204 $7,245.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $35.16 204 $7,172.64 $7,190.01 $-72.42
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:35am ET $34.56 208 $7,188.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:50pm ET $34.75 208 $7,226.96 $7,228.49 +$38.48
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $31.12 232 $7,219.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 1:20pm ET $30.80 232 $7,145.60 $7,154.25 $-74.24
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $29.12 245 $7,134.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $28.26 245 $6,923.70 $6,943.55 $-210.70
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
18m held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:30am ET $31.19 222 $6,924.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:25pm ET $30.96 222 $6,872.01 $6,891.38 $-52.17
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET $31.56 218 $6,880.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $31.33 218 $6,828.85 $6,840.19 $-51.19
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $30.32 225 $6,822.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:55pm ET $30.15 225 $6,782.63 $6,800.82 $-39.38
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $30.32 224 $6,791.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:55pm ET $30.96 224 $6,935.04 $6,944.18 +$143.36
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $36.20 191 $6,914.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:20am ET $35.34 191 $6,748.99 $6,778.96 $-165.22
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:20am ET $35.78 189 $6,762.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:10pm ET $34.90 189 $6,596.10 $6,612.64 $-166.32
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $36.17 182 $6,582.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $35.91 182 $6,535.62 $6,565.32 $-47.32
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
40 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $35.70 183 $6,533.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $35.66 183 $6,525.78 $6,558.00 $-7.32
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $28.00 234 $6,553.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $27.31 234 $6,389.37 $6,394.20 $-163.80
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
42 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $26.60 240 $6,384.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $26.75 240 $6,418.80 $6,429.00 +$34.80
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $22.48 286 $6,427.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $22.24 286 $6,359.24 $6,360.39 $-68.61
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $26.30 241 $6,338.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:40pm ET $26.14 241 $6,298.54 $6,320.63 $-39.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.24 250 $6,310.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $24.21 250 $6,052.50 $6,063.13 $-257.50
(-4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $22.32 271 $6,048.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $22.30 271 $6,041.95 $6,056.36 $-6.77
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
47 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $23.72 255 $6,047.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.66 255 $6,033.30 $6,042.33 $-14.03
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
48 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $26.44 228 $6,028.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $25.93 228 $5,913.18 $5,927.19 $-115.14
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
49 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:00am ET $25.14 235 $5,906.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $24.91 235 $5,852.68 $5,873.14 $-54.05
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $25.69 228 $5,858.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.50 228 $6,040.86 $6,055.54 +$182.40
(+3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET $25.76 235 $6,053.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $25.34 235 $5,954.90 $5,956.84 $-98.70
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $26.41 225 $5,941.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $29.02 225 $6,529.50 $6,545.21 +$588.37
(+9.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $24.41 268 $6,541.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $24.44 268 $6,549.92 $6,553.25 +$8.04
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.83 253 $6,533.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $25.85 253 $6,541.31 $6,560.84 +$7.59
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $26.96 243 $6,551.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $26.34 243 $6,401.83 $6,411.40 $-149.44
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $27.49 233 $6,404.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.92 233 $6,272.36 $6,279.50 $-131.90
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $23.90 262 $6,261.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $24.30 262 $6,366.60 $6,384.30 +$104.80
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $22.35 285 $6,369.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $23.19 285 $6,609.15 $6,623.70 +$239.40
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $25.48 260 $6,623.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $25.06 260 $6,515.60 $6,515.80 $-107.90
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $26.04 250 $6,510.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $26.13 250 $6,531.25 $6,537.05 +$21.25
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $25.69 254 $6,525.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $25.77 254 $6,546.85 $6,558.64 +$21.59
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $25.20 260 $6,551.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $25.27 260 $6,571.50 $6,578.40 +$19.76
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $24.75 265 $6,558.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $24.38 265 $6,460.70 $6,480.35 $-98.05
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $22.85 283 $6,466.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $22.34 283 $6,322.22 $6,336.02 $-144.33
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,336.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,663.98
Total Return: -36.64%
Back to Trent Follower