Compendium › Trent Follower › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 21 trades executed

+11.70%
2 Years Return
$11,424.41
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,227.87
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.0/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
48,405
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,227.87
Current Value
$11,424.41
Total P&L
$1,196.54
Max Drawdown
-4.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+10.92%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$386,812.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,196.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,196.54
Gross Return
+11.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,227.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $247.16 41 $10,133.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 1:30pm ET $256.62 41 $10,521.42 $10,615.73 +$387.86
(+3.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $230.64 46 $10,609.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $230.19 46 $10,588.51 $10,594.80 $-20.93
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:45am ET $248.35 42 $10,430.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $243.97 42 $10,246.74 $10,410.84 $-183.96
(-1.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET $279.00 37 $10,323.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 1:50pm ET $280.51 37 $10,378.87 $10,466.71 +$55.87
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:40am ET $300.32 34 $10,210.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $295.27 34 $10,039.18 $10,295.01 $-171.70
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 9:45am ET $294.97 34 $10,028.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $306.71 34 $10,428.14 $10,694.17 +$399.16
(+4.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $324.07 33 $10,694.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $318.65 33 $10,515.45 $10,515.46 $-178.71
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $317.36 33 $10,472.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $308.66 33 $10,185.78 $10,228.36 $-287.10
(-2.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET $237.40 43 $10,208.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $237.20 43 $10,199.60 $10,219.76 $-8.60
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 44 $10,195.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $257.02 44 $11,308.88 $11,332.96 +$1,113.20
(+10.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $265.67 42 $11,158.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $262.78 42 $11,036.76 $11,211.37 $-121.59
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $321.32 34 $10,924.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $322.48 34 $10,964.37 $11,250.86 +$39.49
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $261.50 43 $11,244.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $264.39 43 $11,368.77 $11,375.13 +$124.27
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:15am ET $267.90 42 $11,252.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $269.65 42 $11,325.51 $11,448.63 +$73.50
(+0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $217.22 52 $11,295.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $214.82 52 $11,170.64 $11,323.83 $-124.80
(-1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $214.64 52 $11,161.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $214.70 52 $11,164.14 $11,326.69 +$2.86
(+0.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET $224.66 50 $11,233.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $227.01 50 $11,350.75 $11,444.44 +$117.75
(+1.0%) 		TREND_BREAK
4h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $249.58 45 $11,231.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $249.13 45 $11,211.07 $11,424.41 $-20.03
(-0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,424.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,424.41
Total Return: +14.24%
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