Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:20:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,383
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,550.25
Current Value
$9,149.59
Total P&L
$-400.66
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+5.42%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
5.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$372,748.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-400.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-400.66
Gross Return
-4.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,550.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:30am ET $74.45 128 $9,529.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 18, 2024 1:30pm ET $75.48 128 $9,661.57 $9,682.14 +$131.89
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $97.92 98 $9,596.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 1:10pm ET $95.84 98 $9,392.22 $9,478.30 $-203.84
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:50am ET $89.02 106 $9,435.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 3:15pm ET $89.87 106 $9,525.90 $9,568.51 +$90.21
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $94.42 101 $9,536.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $95.04 101 $9,598.74 $9,630.42 +$61.91
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $88.75 108 $9,585.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $86.02 108 $9,290.31 $9,335.73 $-294.69
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
12m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:20am ET $91.01 102 $9,283.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $89.18 102 $9,096.67 $9,149.07 $-186.66
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $91.21 100 $9,120.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:55am ET $92.85 100 $9,285.00 $9,313.57 +$164.50
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 9:35am ET $96.16 96 $9,231.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $97.95 96 $9,403.01 $9,484.96 +$171.39
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $100.80 94 $9,475.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $98.88 94 $9,294.91 $9,304.67 $-180.29
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $83.80 111 $9,301.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $82.86 111 $9,197.45 $9,200.52 $-104.15
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.45 114 $9,171.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $84.81 114 $9,668.34 $9,697.49 +$496.97
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 95 $9,618.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $98.56 95 $9,362.73 $9,441.94 $-255.55
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:50am ET $88.71 106 $9,403.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $88.02 106 $9,329.71 $9,368.39 $-73.55
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:15am ET $74.54 125 $9,317.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $73.97 125 $9,246.25 $9,297.14 $-71.25
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $69.57 133 $9,252.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $69.75 133 $9,276.75 $9,321.74 +$24.60
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $73.26 127 $9,304.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $73.11 127 $9,284.34 $9,302.06 $-19.68
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $75.22 123 $9,252.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:50am ET $73.64 123 $9,058.33 $9,108.33 $-193.73
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $76.75 118 $9,056.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $76.95 118 $9,080.10 $9,131.93 +$23.60
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:50am ET $78.90 115 $9,074.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.42 115 $9,017.73 $9,075.58 $-56.35
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $79.91 113 $9,029.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $80.57 113 $9,103.85 $9,149.59 +$74.01
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,149.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-850.41
Total Return: -8.50%
Back to Trent Follower