Compendium › Trent Follower › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 21 trades executed

+19.06%
2 Years Return
$11,951.10
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,038.23
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:35

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 40.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 30.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
40,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
505 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,038.23
Current Value
$11,951.10
Total P&L
$1,912.88
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+12.73%
Worst Trade
-2.07%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$385,808.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,912.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,912.88
Gross Return
+19.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 505 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,038.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $603.32 16 $9,653.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:35pm ET $604.76 16 $9,676.16 $10,061.27 +$23.04
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
6.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $439.81 22 $9,675.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $435.93 22 $9,590.46 $9,975.91 $-85.36
(-0.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 10:00am ET $434.90 22 $9,567.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:15pm ET $433.09 22 $9,527.87 $9,935.98 $-39.93
(-0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $419.61 23 $9,651.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $429.42 23 $9,876.55 $10,161.49 +$225.52
(+2.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:40am ET $407.15 24 $9,771.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 1:25pm ET $404.33 24 $9,703.92 $10,093.81 $-67.68
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $421.79 23 $9,701.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $421.17 23 $9,686.91 $10,079.67 $-14.15
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:15am ET $431.92 23 $9,934.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 1:45pm ET $431.63 23 $9,927.55 $10,073.05 $-6.61
(-0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET $422.45 23 $9,716.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $476.24 23 $10,953.52 $11,310.22 +$1,237.17
(+12.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $500.78 22 $11,017.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET $528.22 22 $11,620.84 $11,914.01 +$603.79
(+5.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $566.54 21 $11,897.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $557.03 21 $11,697.63 $11,714.30 $-199.71
(-1.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $627.48 18 $11,294.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $618.48 18 $11,132.64 $11,552.39 $-161.91
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $504.98 22 $11,109.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $501.63 22 $11,035.86 $11,478.69 $-73.70
(-0.7%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $466.90 24 $11,205.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $482.22 24 $11,573.28 $11,846.25 +$367.56
(+3.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $481.59 24 $11,558.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 24 $11,690.88 $11,978.97 +$132.72
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $582.04 20 $11,640.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $570.00 20 $11,400.00 $11,738.07 $-240.90
(-2.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $581.94 20 $11,638.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $574.82 20 $11,496.40 $11,595.67 $-142.40
(-1.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $608.60 19 $11,563.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $610.78 19 $11,604.73 $11,637.00 +$41.33
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $630.62 18 $11,351.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $648.07 18 $11,665.26 $11,951.10 +$314.10
(+2.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,951.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,951.10
Total Return: +19.51%
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