Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 2.9

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.4 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,609.03
Current Value
$9,986.94
Period P&L
$377.92
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
7 / 13
Best Trade
+8.47%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
12.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$382,169.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$377.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$377.92
Gross Return
+3.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,609.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $257.90 37 $9,542.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $255.05 37 $9,436.85 $9,503.39 $-105.63
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $284.52 33 $9,389.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $281.18 33 $9,278.94 $9,393.17 $-110.22
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $263.77 35 $9,231.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $257.10 35 $8,998.50 $9,159.72 $-233.45
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:35am ET $251.50 36 $9,054.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $272.80 36 $9,820.62 $9,926.34 +$766.62
(+8.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $265.80 37 $9,834.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $260.72 37 $9,646.64 $9,738.20 $-188.14
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $210.44 46 $9,680.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $207.74 46 $9,555.81 $9,613.77 $-124.43
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $198.91 48 $9,547.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $197.70 48 $9,489.36 $9,555.45 $-58.32
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:45am ET $207.50 46 $9,545.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $205.09 46 $9,434.14 $9,444.59 $-110.86
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $210.01 44 $9,240.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:40pm ET $211.40 44 $9,301.60 $9,505.75 +$61.16
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:25am ET $227.97 41 $9,346.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $226.54 41 $9,287.94 $9,446.92 $-58.83
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:15am ET $229.53 41 $9,410.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $225.57 41 $9,248.37 $9,284.56 $-162.36
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $220.71 42 $9,269.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $239.26 42 $10,048.71 $10,063.66 +$779.10
(+8.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET $260.25 38 $9,889.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $262.83 38 $9,987.54 $10,161.70 +$98.04
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 39 $10,132.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:05am ET $251.77 39 $9,819.03 $9,847.75 $-313.95
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $266.89 36 $9,608.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $264.94 36 $9,537.84 $9,777.55 $-70.20
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $266.58 36 $9,596.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:25am ET $262.71 36 $9,457.56 $9,638.23 $-139.32
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $261.77 36 $9,423.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $265.32 36 $9,551.52 $9,766.21 +$127.98
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $281.80 34 $9,581.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $291.83 34 $9,922.39 $10,107.23 +$341.02
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $291.19 34 $9,900.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $285.90 34 $9,720.60 $9,927.37 $-179.86
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $261.36 37 $9,670.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $262.97 37 $9,729.89 $9,986.94 +$59.57
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,986.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-13.06
Total Return: -0.13%
Back to Trent Follower