AMC Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 51 trades in period
+10.16%
Year to Date Return
$7,891.93
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$7,163.91
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.9%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.4
Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,295
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,163.91
Current Value
$7,891.93
Period P&L
$728.00
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
51
Winners / Losers
24 /
27
Best Trade
+17.16%
Worst Trade
-8.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.32%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,359.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$728.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$728.00
Gross Return
+10.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 51 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,163.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.60 | 4,477 | $7,163.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.55 | 4,477 | $6,939.35 | $6,940.07 |
$-223.85 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.54 | 4,494 | $6,939.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.59 | 4,494 | $7,122.99 | $7,123.87 |
+$183.80 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $1.62 | 4,397 | $7,123.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1.62 | 4,397 | $7,123.14 | $7,123.87 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.64 | 4,357 | $7,123.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $1.61 | 4,357 | $7,014.77 | $7,014.95 |
$-108.93 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.69 | 4,150 | $7,013.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.66 | 4,150 | $6,889.00 | $6,890.45 |
$-124.50 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.44 | 4,800 | $6,890.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.44 | 4,800 | $6,912.00 | $6,912.05 |
+$21.60 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.47 | 4,711 | $6,911.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1.45 | 4,711 | $6,830.95 | $6,831.96 |
$-80.09 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.47 | 4,647 | $6,831.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.37 | 4,647 | $6,366.39 | $6,367.26 |
$-464.70 (-6.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.30 | 4,897 | $6,366.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.26 | 4,897 | $6,170.22 | $6,170.89 |
$-196.37 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1.15 | 5,342 | $6,170.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.14 | 5,342 | $6,089.88 | $6,090.76 |
$-80.13 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.24 | 4,911 | $6,089.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.20 | 4,911 | $5,893.20 | $5,894.32 |
$-196.44 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9975 | 5,909 | $5,894.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1.00 | 5,909 | $5,909.00 | $5,909.09 |
+$14.77 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.07 | 5,548 | $5,908.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.24 | 5,548 | $6,851.78 | $6,852.25 |
+$943.16 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.27 | 5,397 | $6,851.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $1.31 | 5,397 | $7,060.90 | $7,061.65 |
+$209.40 (+3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.44 | 4,903 | $7,060.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.34 | 4,903 | $6,569.53 | $6,570.86 |
$-490.79 (-7.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $1.43 | 4,578 | $6,569.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.50 | 4,578 | $6,867.46 | $6,868.89 |
+$298.03 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.65 | 4,150 | $6,868.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.60 | 4,150 | $6,640.00 | $6,640.64 |
$-228.25 (-3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.69 | 3,929 | $6,640.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.88 | 3,929 | $7,406.16 | $7,406.40 |
+$765.76 (+11.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.77 | 4,172 | $7,405.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.71 | 4,172 | $7,134.12 | $7,135.22 |
$-271.18 (-3.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.68 | 4,247 | $7,134.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.61 | 4,247 | $6,816.44 | $6,816.70 |
$-318.52 (-4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.53 | 4,455 | $6,815.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $1.50 | 4,455 | $6,662.01 | $6,663.00 |
$-153.70 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.52 | 4,384 | $6,661.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.49 | 4,384 | $6,532.16 | $6,533.23 |
$-129.77 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $1.35 | 4,840 | $6,532.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1.31 | 4,840 | $6,340.40 | $6,341.08 |
$-192.15 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.47 | 4,305 | $6,339.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1.53 | 4,305 | $6,608.17 | $6,609.28 |
+$268.20 (+4.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.61 | 4,117 | $6,607.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.55 | 4,117 | $6,401.93 | $6,403.43 |
$-205.85 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.61 | 3,989 | $6,403.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.54 | 3,989 | $6,163.00 | $6,163.29 |
$-240.14 (-3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $1.63 | 3,769 | $6,162.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.71 | 3,769 | $6,452.91 | $6,453.88 |
+$290.59 (+4.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.16 | 2,981 | $6,453.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.97 | 2,981 | $5,878.23 | $5,878.25 |
$-575.63 (-8.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.92 | 3,053 | $5,877.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.86 | 3,053 | $5,663.32 | $5,664.54 |
$-213.71 (-3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.83 | 3,103 | $5,662.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.84 | 3,103 | $5,694.01 | $5,695.57 |
+$31.03 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1.96 | 2,905 | $5,693.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $1.92 | 2,905 | $5,592.12 | $5,593.89 |
$-101.68 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.15 | 2,595 | $5,592.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $2.21 | 2,595 | $5,734.95 | $5,736.62 |
+$142.73 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.38 | 2,413 | $5,736.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $2.26 | 2,413 | $5,453.38 | $5,453.82 |
$-282.80 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $2.39 | 2,281 | $5,451.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $2.37 | 2,281 | $5,405.97 | $5,408.20 |
$-45.62 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $2.82 | 1,921 | $5,407.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $2.76 | 1,921 | $5,292.36 | $5,292.94 |
$-115.26 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.14 | 2,473 | $5,292.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $2.06 | 2,473 | $5,082.02 | $5,082.73 |
$-210.21 (-4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.87 | 2,725 | $5,082.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $2.18 | 2,725 | $5,954.12 | $5,954.73 |
+$872.00 (+17.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.74 | 3,422 | $5,954.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $1.90 | 3,422 | $6,518.91 | $6,519.36 |
+$564.63 (+9.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.94 | 3,366 | $6,518.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1.97 | 3,366 | $6,631.02 | $6,632.12 |
+$112.76 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.20 | 3,007 | $6,630.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $2.36 | 3,007 | $7,096.52 | $7,098.21 |
+$466.08 (+7.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.28 | 3,113 | $7,097.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $2.30 | 3,113 | $7,144.34 | $7,144.90 |
+$46.70 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $2.48 | 2,881 | $7,144.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.64 | 2,881 | $7,605.84 | $7,605.86 |
+$460.96 (+6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.81 | 2,706 | $7,603.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.79 | 2,706 | $7,550.01 | $7,552.01 |
$-53.85 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $2.51 | 3,008 | $7,550.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $2.57 | 3,008 | $7,738.98 | $7,740.91 |
+$188.90 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.47 | 3,131 | $7,740.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:55pm ET | $2.54 | 3,131 | $7,937.09 | $7,937.22 |
+$196.31 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.67 | 2,967 | $7,936.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $2.71 | 2,967 | $8,040.27 | $8,040.77 |
+$103.55 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.68 | 3,000 | $8,040.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $2.63 | 3,000 | $7,875.00 | $7,875.77 |
$-165.00 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.65 | 2,971 | $7,873.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $2.66 | 2,971 | $7,917.71 | $7,920.33 |
+$44.56 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET | $2.52 | 3,149 | $7,919.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:15pm ET | $2.45 | 3,149 | $7,715.05 | $7,715.64 |
$-204.69 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.60 | 2,973 | $7,714.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.64 | 2,973 | $7,863.58 | $7,864.29 |
+$148.65 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $2.85 | 2,764 | $7,863.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.86 | 2,764 | $7,891.22 | $7,891.93 |
+$27.64 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,891.93
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,108.07
Total Return:
-21.08%