AMD Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+3.77%
Year to Date Return
$11,988.31
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$11,552.40
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality
23.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 23.4
30-Day Momentum
25
+3.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.0
Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,962
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$11,552.40
Current Value
$11,988.31
Period P&L
$435.90
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
21 /
22
Best Trade
+9.15%
Worst Trade
-6.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
10.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,011,958.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$435.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$435.90
Gross Return
+3.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,552.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.35 | 51 | $11,441.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:45pm ET | $219.83 | 51 | $11,211.22 | $11,321.66 |
$-230.74 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $220.35 | 51 | $11,237.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $221.02 | 51 | $11,272.02 | $11,355.73 |
+$34.07 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.79 | 48 | $11,221.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $236.26 | 48 | $11,340.48 | $11,474.29 |
+$118.56 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $241.20 | 47 | $11,336.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $244.90 | 47 | $11,510.30 | $11,648.19 |
+$173.90 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.28 | 44 | $11,540.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $258.82 | 44 | $11,388.08 | $11,495.95 |
$-152.24 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $248.15 | 46 | $11,415.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET | $247.34 | 46 | $11,377.67 | $11,458.49 |
$-37.46 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.40 | 56 | $11,278.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $206.51 | 56 | $11,564.57 | $11,744.66 |
+$286.17 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.55 | 55 | $11,635.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $213.33 | 55 | $11,733.15 | $11,842.56 |
+$97.90 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $204.59 | 57 | $11,661.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $204.12 | 57 | $11,634.84 | $11,815.77 |
$-26.79 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.40 | 57 | $11,764.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $203.54 | 57 | $11,601.78 | $11,653.03 |
$-162.74 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 55 | $11,632.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.85 | 55 | $11,982.02 | $12,002.28 |
+$349.25 (+3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $209.05 | 57 | $11,915.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $211.93 | 57 | $12,080.29 | $12,166.72 |
+$164.44 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.40 | 53 | $11,946.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $220.10 | 53 | $11,665.30 | $11,885.83 |
$-280.89 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 51 | $11,850.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $231.43 | 51 | $11,802.68 | $11,837.64 |
$-48.19 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $242.98 | 48 | $11,662.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $243.99 | 48 | $11,711.67 | $11,886.51 |
+$48.87 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.93 | 44 | $11,656.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $273.57 | 44 | $12,036.86 | $12,266.45 |
+$379.94 (+3.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $295.47 | 41 | $12,114.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $305.58 | 41 | $12,528.78 | $12,680.96 |
+$414.51 (+3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 29 | $12,377.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $416.08 | 29 | $12,066.32 | $12,370.08 |
$-310.88 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $424.61 | 29 | $12,313.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $463.45 | 29 | $13,440.05 | $13,496.44 |
+$1,126.36 (+9.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.60 | 29 | $13,270.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $437.30 | 29 | $12,681.82 | $12,908.01 |
$-588.43 (-4.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:20pm ET | $423.27 | 30 | $12,697.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 3:25pm ET | $415.00 | 30 | $12,450.00 | $12,660.06 |
$-247.95 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.87 | 26 | $12,216.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $470.18 | 26 | $12,224.68 | $12,668.12 |
+$8.06 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $514.67 | 24 | $12,352.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $518.26 | 24 | $12,438.12 | $12,754.16 |
+$86.04 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $540.51 | 23 | $12,431.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.13 | 23 | $11,824.99 | $12,147.54 |
$-606.63 (-4.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $490.25 | 24 | $11,766.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $487.45 | 24 | $11,698.80 | $12,080.34 |
$-67.20 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $475.71 | 25 | $11,892.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $463.55 | 25 | $11,588.77 | $11,776.37 |
$-303.97 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $486.24 | 24 | $11,669.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET | $514.09 | 24 | $12,338.16 | $12,444.77 |
+$668.40 (+5.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $552.59 | 22 | $12,156.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $539.73 | 22 | $11,874.06 | $12,161.85 |
$-282.92 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $544.37 | 22 | $11,976.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET | $507.75 | 22 | $11,170.50 | $11,356.21 |
$-805.64 (-6.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
25m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $536.92 | 21 | $11,275.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $554.11 | 21 | $11,636.31 | $11,717.29 |
+$361.08 (+3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $534.90 | 21 | $11,232.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $557.71 | 21 | $11,711.91 | $12,196.41 |
+$479.12 (+4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $537.96 | 22 | $11,835.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $550.81 | 22 | $12,117.82 | $12,479.11 |
+$282.70 (+2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $562.40 | 22 | $12,372.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $554.69 | 22 | $12,203.18 | $12,309.49 |
$-169.62 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $517.24 | 23 | $11,896.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:50pm ET | $509.00 | 23 | $11,707.00 | $12,119.97 |
$-189.52 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:40pm ET | $447.73 | 27 | $12,088.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $434.18 | 27 | $11,722.86 | $11,754.12 |
$-365.85 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
55m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 23 | $11,717.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $485.93 | 23 | $11,176.39 | $11,212.58 |
$-541.54 (-4.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
40m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $504.00 | 22 | $11,088.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.11 | 22 | $11,530.42 | $11,655.00 |
+$442.42 (+4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.80 | 23 | $11,242.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:20pm ET | $486.67 | 23 | $11,193.39 | $11,605.99 |
$-49.01 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $510.86 | 22 | $11,238.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 12:15pm ET | $511.32 | 22 | $11,249.07 | $11,616.14 |
+$10.15 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.38 | 24 | $11,457.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.04 | 24 | $11,400.96 | $11,559.98 |
$-56.16 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $473.64 | 24 | $11,367.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $471.94 | 24 | $11,326.53 | $11,519.09 |
$-40.89 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $519.12 | 22 | $11,420.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $520.93 | 22 | $11,460.46 | $11,558.91 |
+$39.82 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $583.88 | 19 | $11,093.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $606.48 | 19 | $11,523.12 | $11,988.31 |
+$429.40 (+3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,988.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,988.31
Total Return:
+19.88%