Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,635
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
146 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,074.27
Current Value
$8,667.37
Period P&L
$-406.91
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.77%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,652.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-406.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-406.91
Gross Return
-4.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 146 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,074.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $215.37 42 $9,045.54
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $216.01 42 $9,072.21 $9,100.95 +$26.67
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
23.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 40 $8,959.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $221.46 40 $8,858.40 $8,999.75 $-101.20
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 32 $8,737.28
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $260.65 32 $8,340.80 $8,603.27 $-396.48
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
10m held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $271.05 31 $8,402.55
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $268.40 31 $8,320.40 $8,521.12 $-82.15
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $245.02 34 $8,330.68
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $246.19 34 $8,370.38 $8,560.81 +$39.69
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $237.61 36 $8,553.96
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $240.57 36 $8,660.52 $8,667.37 +$106.56
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,667.37
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,332.63
Total Return: -13.33%
Back to Trent Follower