Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:40:10

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.8/10
Raw Quality 1.8/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 1.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,046.94
Current Value
$9,384.54
Period P&L
$337.60
Max Drawdown
-9.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.84

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-0.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,595.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$337.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$337.60
Gross Return
+3.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,046.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $1,119.05 8 $8,952.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,126.40 8 $9,011.20 $9,105.74 +$58.80
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,144.81 7 $8,013.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,170.42 7 $8,192.94 $9,285.01 +$179.27
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1,001.99 9 $9,017.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,005.38 9 $9,048.42 $9,315.52 +$30.51
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,047.90 8 $8,383.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,058.92 8 $8,471.36 $9,403.68 +$88.16
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $1,061.35 8 $8,490.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,061.25 8 $8,490.00 $9,402.86 $-0.82
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 8 $8,771.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,094.10 8 $8,752.80 $9,384.54 $-18.32
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,384.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-615.46
Total Return: -6.15%
Back to Trent Follower