CRWD Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+53.59%
Year to Date Return
$15,544.80
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,120.63
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.3/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
43.5/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 40.4
30-Day Momentum
67
+17.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.1
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,761
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,120.63
Current Value
$15,544.80
Period P&L
$5,424.15
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
20 /
10
Best Trade
+10.57%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+1.53%
Avg Hold Time
13.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$677,465.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,424.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,424.15
Gross Return
+53.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+53.59%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,120.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.29 | 21 | $9,960.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $481.56 | 21 | $10,112.76 | $10,273.31 |
+$152.67 (+1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $484.75 | 21 | $10,179.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $477.44 | 21 | $10,026.24 | $10,119.91 |
$-153.41 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $359.30 | 28 | $10,060.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $350.58 | 28 | $9,816.24 | $9,875.89 |
$-244.02 (-2.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $376.46 | 26 | $9,787.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $376.04 | 26 | $9,776.91 | $9,864.84 |
$-11.05 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $379.49 | 25 | $9,487.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET | $382.90 | 25 | $9,572.50 | $9,950.09 |
+$85.25 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $417.72 | 23 | $9,607.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $420.07 | 23 | $9,661.61 | $10,004.20 |
+$54.11 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $445.55 | 22 | $9,802.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $431.99 | 22 | $9,503.78 | $9,705.88 |
$-298.32 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $382.60 | 25 | $9,565.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $385.16 | 25 | $9,629.00 | $9,769.88 |
+$64.00 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $417.68 | 23 | $9,606.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:25pm ET | $428.83 | 23 | $9,863.09 | $10,026.33 |
+$256.45 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $390.20 | 25 | $9,754.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $400.12 | 25 | $10,003.00 | $10,274.45 |
+$248.12 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.51 | 24 | $10,140.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET | $416.98 | 24 | $10,007.52 | $10,141.83 |
$-132.62 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $446.24 | 22 | $9,817.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $450.58 | 22 | $9,912.76 | $10,237.31 |
+$95.48 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 20 | $9,760.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $495.74 | 20 | $9,914.80 | $10,392.11 |
+$154.80 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $668.10 | 15 | $10,021.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $667.11 | 15 | $10,006.65 | $10,377.26 |
$-14.85 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $694.87 | 14 | $9,728.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $764.85 | 14 | $10,707.90 | $11,356.98 |
+$979.72 (+10.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $661.01 | 17 | $11,237.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $649.06 | 17 | $11,034.02 | $11,153.83 |
$-203.15 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $682.25 | 16 | $10,916.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $687.00 | 16 | $10,992.00 | $11,229.83 |
+$76.00 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $700.70 | 16 | $11,211.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $686.95 | 16 | $10,991.12 | $11,009.75 |
$-220.08 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.28 | 61 | $10,997.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $186.59 | 61 | $11,381.99 | $11,394.66 |
+$384.91 (+3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $203.32 | 56 | $11,385.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $201.80 | 56 | $11,301.08 | $11,309.82 |
$-84.84 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $195.71 | 57 | $11,155.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $196.43 | 57 | $11,196.51 | $11,350.86 |
+$41.04 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $194.65 | 58 | $11,289.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $207.98 | 58 | $12,062.55 | $12,123.71 |
+$772.85 (+6.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $189.72 | 63 | $11,952.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $209.77 | 63 | $13,215.51 | $13,386.86 |
+$1,263.15 (+10.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $213.82 | 62 | $13,257.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $212.21 | 62 | $13,157.02 | $13,286.73 |
$-100.13 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.00 | 63 | $13,104.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $218.86 | 63 | $13,788.43 | $13,971.16 |
+$684.43 (+5.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $226.37 | 61 | $13,808.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $227.03 | 61 | $13,848.83 | $14,011.72 |
+$40.56 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $210.24 | 66 | $13,875.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET | $212.96 | 66 | $14,055.36 | $14,191.24 |
+$179.52 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $219.01 | 64 | $14,016.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $237.15 | 64 | $15,177.92 | $15,352.52 |
+$1,161.28 (+8.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $246.27 | 62 | $15,268.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.24 | 62 | $15,328.57 | $15,412.35 |
+$59.83 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $258.76 | 59 | $15,266.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $261.01 | 59 | $15,399.30 | $15,544.80 |
+$132.45 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,544.80
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,544.80
Total Return:
+55.45%