LCID Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 40 trades in period
+44.16%
Year to Date Return
$11,231.06
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$7,790.49
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
15.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 15.1
30-Day Momentum
0
-0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,150
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,790.49
Current Value
$11,231.06
Period P&L
$3,440.55
Max Drawdown
-41.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
16 /
24
Best Trade
+15.54%
Worst Trade
-4.65%
Avg Trade Return
+1.04%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$796,439.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,440.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,440.55
Gross Return
+44.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $7,790.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.05 | 705 | $7,786.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.93 | 705 | $7,702.13 | $7,705.77 |
$-84.74 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $12.06 | 638 | $7,694.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $11.69 | 638 | $7,458.22 | $7,469.71 |
$-236.06 (-3.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
36m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $11.41 | 654 | $7,458.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $11.41 | 654 | $7,458.87 | $7,469.71 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.22 | 730 | $7,460.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.76 | 730 | $8,581.15 | $8,590.26 |
+$1,120.55 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.35 | 757 | $8,588.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $11.13 | 757 | $8,425.41 | $8,427.50 |
$-162.76 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.14 | 831 | $8,426.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $10.73 | 831 | $8,912.48 | $8,913.64 |
+$486.14 (+5.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.65 | 923 | $8,910.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $9.70 | 923 | $8,957.71 | $8,961.17 |
+$47.53 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $10.18 | 880 | $8,958.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $10.15 | 880 | $8,927.60 | $8,930.37 |
$-30.80 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:50am ET | $10.27 | 869 | $8,928.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 2:20pm ET | $10.20 | 869 | $8,863.80 | $8,865.20 |
$-65.17 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.75 | 824 | $8,858.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $10.62 | 824 | $8,750.88 | $8,758.08 |
$-107.12 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.24 | 948 | $8,757.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $9.02 | 948 | $8,555.70 | $8,556.44 |
$-201.64 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.82 | 969 | $8,551.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.98 | 969 | $8,701.62 | $8,706.63 |
+$150.19 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
21h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.24 | 1,203 | $8,703.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $7.27 | 1,203 | $8,745.81 | $8,748.73 |
+$42.10 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $5.91 | 1,479 | $8,748.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.50 | 1,479 | $9,613.65 | $9,614.09 |
+$865.36 (+9.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $6.22 | 1,544 | $9,611.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $6.07 | 1,544 | $9,372.08 | $9,374.77 |
$-239.32 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.28 | 1,493 | $9,368.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $6.26 | 1,493 | $9,338.72 | $9,344.91 |
$-29.86 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $6.21 | 1,504 | $9,339.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.57 | 1,504 | $9,888.80 | $9,893.87 |
+$548.96 (+5.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $5.81 | 1,702 | $9,888.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $5.92 | 1,702 | $10,078.05 | $10,083.30 |
+$189.43 (+1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $6.34 | 1,590 | $10,080.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.49 | 1,590 | $10,311.15 | $10,313.85 |
+$230.55 (+2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.85 | 1,505 | $10,309.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $6.65 | 1,505 | $10,008.25 | $10,012.85 |
$-301.00 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.38 | 1,861 | $10,012.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.13 | 1,861 | $9,546.93 | $9,547.41 |
$-465.44 (-4.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.05 | 1,891 | $9,546.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.09 | 1,891 | $9,615.74 | $9,616.62 |
+$69.21 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $5.46 | 1,762 | $9,612.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $5.40 | 1,762 | $9,514.80 | $9,518.83 |
$-97.79 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $5.26 | 1,807 | $9,513.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $5.26 | 1,807 | $9,504.82 | $9,509.80 |
$-9.03 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $5.34 | 1,782 | $9,506.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $5.22 | 1,782 | $9,293.13 | $9,295.96 |
$-213.84 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.31 | 1,750 | $9,292.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.14 | 1,750 | $10,736.25 | $10,739.71 |
+$1,443.75 (+15.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.86 | 1,566 | $10,739.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $6.72 | 1,566 | $10,515.69 | $10,516.24 |
$-223.47 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $6.39 | 1,644 | $10,513.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.39 | 1,644 | $10,505.16 | $10,508.02 |
$-8.22 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.01 | 2,097 | $10,505.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $5.78 | 2,097 | $12,110.18 | $12,112.22 |
+$1,604.20 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.78 | 1,786 | $12,108.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $7.27 | 1,786 | $12,982.43 | $12,985.76 |
+$873.53 (+7.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.46 | 1,740 | $12,980.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $7.32 | 1,740 | $12,732.10 | $12,737.46 |
$-248.30 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.54 | 1,947 | $12,731.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $6.37 | 1,947 | $12,402.39 | $12,408.22 |
$-329.24 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $6.65 | 1,865 | $12,402.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.36 | 1,865 | $11,861.40 | $11,867.56 |
$-540.66 (-4.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
18.5h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.57 | 1,567 | $11,860.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $7.76 | 1,567 | $12,152.09 | $12,159.33 |
+$291.78 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $7.88 | 1,544 | $12,159.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $7.72 | 1,544 | $11,919.68 | $11,920.01 |
$-239.32 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
19.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $7.85 | 1,518 | $11,916.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $7.51 | 1,518 | $11,407.77 | $11,411.48 |
$-508.53 (-4.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
45m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.05 | 1,619 | $11,410.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $6.95 | 1,619 | $11,260.14 | $11,260.91 |
$-150.57 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $5.20 | 2,163 | $11,258.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET | $5.18 | 2,163 | $11,193.53 | $11,196.02 |
$-64.89 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $4.90 | 2,284 | $11,191.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $4.73 | 2,284 | $10,803.09 | $10,807.51 |
$-388.51 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.21 | 2,567 | $10,807.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $4.38 | 2,567 | $11,230.63 | $11,231.06 |
+$423.55 (+3.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,231.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,231.06
Total Return:
+12.31%