LINKUSD Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
-26.75%
Year to Date Return
$3,562.21
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$4,111.49
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality
2.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 2.4
30-Day Momentum
2
-2.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,937
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$4,111.49
Current Value
$3,562.21
Period P&L
$-1,099.92
Max Drawdown
-63.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
11 /
27
Best Trade
+5.24%
Worst Trade
-2.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$275,004.11
Estimated Fees
$687.51
Gross P&L
$-1,099.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,787.43
Gross Return
-26.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-43.47%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $4,111.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $12.57 | 327 | $4,111.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 6:05pm ET | $12.49 | 327 | $4,084.42 | $4,063.93 |
$-47.51 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET | $10.03 | 405 | $4,063.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 11:55pm ET | $10.01 | 405 | $4,057.04 | $4,036.74 |
$-27.19 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $9.95 | 406 | $4,036.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $9.86 | 406 | $4,000.64 | $3,980.55 |
$-56.19 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $9.73 | 409 | $3,980.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET | $9.49 | 409 | $3,881.93 | $3,862.27 |
$-118.28 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $8.36 | 462 | $3,862.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:00am ET | $8.11 | 462 | $3,747.70 | $3,728.67 |
$-133.60 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $8.71 | 428 | $3,728.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $8.80 | 428 | $3,765.47 | $3,746.74 |
+$18.07 (+1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 7:15am ET | $8.92 | 420 | $3,746.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.70 | 420 | $3,653.07 | $3,634.57 |
$-112.17 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET | $8.53 | 426 | $3,634.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.28 | 426 | $3,526.27 | $3,526.27 |
$-126.20 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $8.90 | 396 | $3,526.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 6:40pm ET | $8.93 | 396 | $3,538.10 | $3,538.10 |
$-5.83 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET | $8.53 | 415 | $3,538.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:55pm ET | $8.50 | 415 | $3,527.84 | $3,527.84 |
$-27.92 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 8:25am ET | $8.92 | 395 | $3,527.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $9.39 | 395 | $3,712.77 | $3,712.77 |
+$166.83 (+5.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $9.15 | 406 | $3,712.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:40am ET | $9.07 | 406 | $3,676.49 | $3,676.49 |
$-54.75 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $8.97 | 410 | $3,676.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $9.05 | 410 | $3,707.87 | $3,707.87 |
+$12.92 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $9.13 | 406 | $3,707.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET | $9.10 | 406 | $3,696.73 | $3,696.73 |
$-29.65 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $9.54 | 387 | $3,696.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $9.50 | 387 | $3,680.40 | $3,680.40 |
$-34.78 (-0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 8:30pm ET | $9.37 | 393 | $3,680.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:30pm ET | $9.21 | 393 | $3,615.27 | $3,615.27 |
$-83.37 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 15, 2026 11:35pm ET | $9.78 | 370 | $3,615.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:15am ET | $9.72 | 370 | $3,593.56 | $3,593.56 |
$-39.74 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $8.91 | 403 | $3,593.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $9.10 | 403 | $3,668.35 | $3,668.35 |
+$56.64 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:10am ET | $9.18 | 400 | $3,668.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 5:10am ET | $9.01 | 400 | $3,604.02 | $3,604.02 |
$-82.51 (-1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET | $9.04 | 399 | $3,604.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:25pm ET | $9.22 | 399 | $3,678.43 | $3,678.43 |
+$56.20 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 6:25pm ET | $9.26 | 397 | $3,678.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:05pm ET | $9.19 | 397 | $3,650.52 | $3,650.52 |
$-46.23 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 5:45am ET | $9.65 | 378 | $3,650.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 6:05am ET | $9.37 | 378 | $3,545.39 | $3,545.39 |
$-123.12 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $10.41 | 341 | $3,545.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 4:55pm ET | $10.30 | 341 | $3,507.35 | $3,507.35 |
$-55.67 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $10.71 | 328 | $3,507.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.65 | 328 | $3,489.44 | $3,489.44 |
$-35.40 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2026 4:45pm ET | $9.66 | 361 | $3,489.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2026 7:45pm ET | $9.55 | 361 | $3,449.94 | $3,449.94 |
$-56.84 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET | $7.92 | 435 | $3,449.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 9:25pm ET | $7.85 | 435 | $3,418.00 | $3,418.00 |
$-49.11 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 14, 2026 5:50pm ET | $8.12 | 421 | $3,418.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 14, 2026 9:30pm ET | $8.11 | 421 | $3,415.73 | $3,415.73 |
$-19.36 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:20am ET | $8.30 | 411 | $3,415.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $8.27 | 411 | $3,399.60 | $3,399.60 |
$-33.17 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:00pm ET | $9.35 | 364 | $3,399.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2026 12:55am ET | $9.45 | 364 | $3,437.59 | $3,437.59 |
+$20.90 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 4:40pm ET | $10.37 | 332 | $3,437.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 7:45pm ET | $10.54 | 332 | $3,495.96 | $3,495.96 |
+$41.03 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:20am ET | $11.29 | 310 | $3,495.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 6:30am ET | $11.38 | 310 | $3,523.58 | $3,523.58 |
+$10.08 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 5:30pm ET | $12.06 | 292 | $3,523.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 7:55pm ET | $11.99 | 292 | $3,501.13 | $3,501.13 |
$-40.01 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET | $11.72 | 299 | $3,501.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 6:30pm ET | $11.85 | 299 | $3,539.60 | $3,539.60 |
+$20.87 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2026 4:45pm ET | $12.94 | 274 | $3,539.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2026 9:15pm ET | $13.08 | 274 | $3,579.00 | $3,579.00 |
+$21.60 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 7, 2026 1:45am ET | $13.54 | 264 | $3,579.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 7, 2026 3:25am ET | $13.23 | 264 | $3,498.62 | $3,498.62 |
$-98.08 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $11.88 | 295 | $3,498.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $11.65 | 295 | $3,433.28 | $3,433.28 |
$-82.67 (-1.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 5:35am ET | $13.05 | 263 | $3,433.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $13.04 | 263 | $3,432.51 | $3,432.51 |
$-17.93 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $12.72 | 270 | $3,432.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 6:10pm ET | $13.20 | 270 | $3,562.21 | $3,562.21 |
+$112.22 (+3.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,562.21
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,437.79
Total Return:
-64.38%