Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:54

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 20.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,410
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,552.97
Current Value
$10,614.05
Period P&L
$61.07
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+3.97%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,716.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$61.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$61.07
Gross Return
+0.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,552.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $1,103.03 9 $9,927.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,102.12 9 $9,919.04 $10,544.75 $-8.23
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,090.07 9 $9,810.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,093.35 9 $9,840.15 $10,574.27 +$29.52
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,105.51 9 $9,949.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $1,058.01 9 $9,522.09 $10,146.77 $-427.50
(-4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $1,047.06 9 $9,423.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,051.45 9 $9,463.05 $10,186.28 +$39.51
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $923.65 11 $10,160.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $956.50 11 $10,521.50 $10,547.63 +$361.35
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 11 $9,892.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $934.98 11 $10,284.83 $10,940.16 +$392.53
(+4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:05am ET $1,124.73 9 $10,122.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,122.33 9 $10,100.97 $10,918.56 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,127.83 9 $10,150.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,130.16 9 $10,171.44 $10,939.56 +$21.00
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $1,175.28 9 $10,577.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET $1,208.96 9 $10,880.64 $11,242.68 +$303.12
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,230.38 9 $11,073.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,204.61 9 $10,841.49 $11,010.79 $-231.89
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $1,248.23 8 $9,985.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,228.55 8 $9,828.40 $10,853.35 $-157.44
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 9 $10,601.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,151.25 9 $10,361.25 $10,612.69 $-240.66
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $1,262.98 8 $10,103.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,270.41 8 $10,163.24 $10,672.05 +$59.36
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:15am ET $1,193.59 8 $9,548.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $1,186.34 8 $9,490.72 $10,614.05 $-58.00
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,614.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$614.05
Total Return: +6.14%
Back to Trent Follower