Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

6
+1.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.2 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,937
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,724.77
Current Value
$9,009.00
Period P&L
$-1,324.83
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
4 / 13
Best Trade
+6.00%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$299,650.54
Estimated Fees
$749.13
Gross P&L
$-1,324.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,073.96
Gross Return
-13.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-21.33%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,724.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.61 160 $9,724.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $59.46 160 $9,540.22 $9,492.06 $-232.68
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 181 $9,492.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $50.61 181 $9,160.81 $9,114.18 $-377.88
(-3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:50am ET $55.57 164 $9,114.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $54.72 164 $8,974.77 $8,929.55 $-184.63
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:05am ET $55.48 161 $8,929.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.96 161 $9,328.71 $9,328.71 +$353.51
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET $55.18 169 $9,328.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $54.34 169 $9,186.70 $9,186.70 $-188.30
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $55.67 165 $9,186.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:30am ET $55.39 165 $9,140.49 $9,140.49 $-92.02
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $42.92 213 $9,140.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET $42.38 213 $9,025.49 $9,025.49 $-160.42
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.83 189 $9,025.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $46.89 189 $8,848.11 $8,848.11 $-222.06
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 4:10am ET $50.49 175 $8,848.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 7:35am ET $50.32 175 $8,818.32 $8,818.32 $-73.96
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:45pm ET $54.00 163 $8,818.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:45pm ET $53.27 163 $8,699.11 $8,699.11 $-163.00
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 6:15am ET $54.05 161 $8,699.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 6:55am ET $52.55 161 $8,457.69 $8,457.69 $-284.31
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 8:45am ET $57.65 147 $8,457.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 10:35am ET $56.76 147 $8,327.12 $8,327.12 $-172.53
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $59.14 141 $8,327.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $58.17 141 $8,190.54 $8,190.54 $-177.87
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 8:35am ET $62.26 132 $8,190.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $62.59 132 $8,233.95 $8,233.95 +$2.35
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $62.58 132 $8,233.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $61.23 132 $8,056.32 $8,056.32 $-218.35
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:35pm ET $64.12 126 $8,056.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 4:25am ET $67.97 126 $8,540.05 $8,540.05 +$442.24
(+6.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:20am ET $69.02 124 $8,540.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $72.81 124 $9,009.00 $9,009.00 +$425.08
(+5.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,009.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-991.00
Total Return: -9.91%
Back to Trent Follower