Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y Era All 🔄 Era 2 (669 days)

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,999
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-02-15
Trading Days
46 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$1,596.57
Current Value
$1,301.68
Period P&L
$-301.44
Max Drawdown
-99.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
4 / 18
Best Trade
+12.96%
Worst Trade
-3.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$69,123.45
Estimated Fees
$172.81
Gross P&L
$-301.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-474.25
Gross Return
-18.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.70%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Apr 16, 2024 $99.37 171 $1,786.93 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 1, 2024 → Apr 16, 2024
Trades
171
Win Rate
24.0%
P&L
$-9,900.61
Fees Paid
$1,786.93
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$99.37
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEPEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 46 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $1,596.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 11:35am ET $0.00000432 369,567,802 $1,596.53
🔴 SELL Jan 1, 2026 9:00pm ET $0.00000488 369,567,802 $1,803.49 $1,794.99 +$198.46
(+13.0%)
TREND_BREAK
9.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 1, 2026 10:15pm ET $0.00000512 350,584,144 $1,794.99
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:55am ET $0.00000511 350,584,144 $1,791.48 $1,782.52 $-12.47
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 7:30am ET $0.00000556 320,596,904 $1,782.52
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000553 320,596,904 $1,772.90 $1,764.01 $-18.51
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000591 298,479,243 $1,764.01
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $0.00000589 298,479,243 $1,758.04 $1,749.24 $-14.77
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 5:50pm ET $0.00000613 285,356,869 $1,749.24
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:05pm ET $0.00000606 285,356,869 $1,729.26 $1,720.57 $-28.67
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2026 4:35am ET $0.00000618 278,408,798 $1,720.57
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2026 6:05am ET $0.00000597 278,408,798 $1,662.10 $1,653.64 $-66.92
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.00000652 253,626,359 $1,653.64
🔴 SELL Jan 4, 2026 12:00am ET $0.00000631 253,626,359 $1,600.38 $1,592.25 $-61.40
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 4, 2026 3:15am ET $0.00000666 239,076,165 $1,592.25
🔴 SELL Jan 4, 2026 8:00am ET $0.00000696 239,076,165 $1,663.97 $1,655.83 +$63.58
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:00am ET $0.00000696 237,906,547 $1,655.83
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 4:15am ET $0.00000678 237,906,547 $1,613.01 $1,604.83 $-51.00
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:45am ET $0.00000635 252,729,810 $1,604.83
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $0.00000617 252,729,810 $1,559.34 $1,551.43 $-53.40
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 5:05pm ET $0.00000635 244,320,077 $1,551.43
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:20am ET $0.00000672 244,320,077 $1,641.83 $1,633.85 +$82.42
(+5.8%)
TREND_BREAK
7.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:40am ET $0.00000513 318,488,842 $1,633.85
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET $0.00000498 318,488,842 $1,586.07 $1,578.02 $-55.82
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
54m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $0.00000513 307,607,140 $1,578.02
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:30pm ET $0.00000519 307,607,140 $1,596.48 $1,588.54 +$10.52
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.00000522 304,318,925 $1,588.54
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $0.00000509 304,318,925 $1,548.98 $1,541.14 $-47.41
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 8:45pm ET $0.00000521 295,804,128 $1,541.14
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:50pm ET $0.00000509 295,804,128 $1,505.64 $1,498.03 $-43.11
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $0.00000433 345,964,448 $1,498.03
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $0.00000429 345,964,448 $1,484.19 $1,476.73 $-21.29
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $0.00000439 336,385,409 $1,476.73
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $0.00000426 336,385,409 $1,433.00 $1,425.73 $-51.00
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $0.00000431 330,795,246 $1,425.73
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $0.00000417 330,795,246 $1,379.42 $1,372.40 $-53.32
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $0.00000421 325,986,536 $1,372.40
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 4:40pm ET $0.00000419 325,986,536 $1,365.88 $1,359.04 $-13.37
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET $0.00000360 377,510,519 $1,359.04
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:50am ET $0.00000359 377,510,519 $1,355.26 $1,348.48 $-10.56
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $0.00000385 350,253,769 $1,348.48
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.00000384 350,253,769 $1,344.97 $1,338.24 $-10.24
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:00am ET $0.00000366 365,639,344 $1,338.24
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $0.00000356 365,639,344 $1,301.68 $1,301.68 $-43.16
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 1 refund ($10,000)
Total Invested: $20,000.00
Ended with: $1,301.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-18,698.32
Total Return: -93.49%
Back to Trent Follower