RBLX Trent Follower's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+1.25%
Year to Date Return
$8,258.94
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$8,157.09
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 5.0
30-Day Momentum
24
+3.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6
Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,892
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,157.09
Current Value
$8,258.94
Period P&L
$101.83
Max Drawdown
-22.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
19 /
24
Best Trade
+7.62%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$685,893.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$101.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$101.83
Gross Return
+1.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $8,157.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.70 | 107 | $8,099.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $75.07 | 107 | $8,032.49 | $8,089.96 |
$-67.14 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $86.01 | 94 | $8,084.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $87.16 | 94 | $8,193.04 | $8,198.53 |
+$108.57 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.31 | 108 | $8,132.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $74.85 | 108 | $8,083.80 | $8,149.39 |
$-49.14 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.68 | 118 | $8,104.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $68.14 | 118 | $8,039.93 | $8,085.08 |
$-64.31 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.75 | 126 | $8,032.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.19 | 126 | $7,710.57 | $7,763.15 |
$-321.93 (-4.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
24m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $72.38 | 107 | $7,744.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $73.42 | 107 | $7,855.94 | $7,874.96 |
+$111.81 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $65.31 | 120 | $7,837.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $64.78 | 120 | $7,773.00 | $7,810.76 |
$-64.20 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $64.22 | 121 | $7,770.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $66.54 | 121 | $8,051.34 | $8,091.48 |
+$280.72 (+3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $70.76 | 114 | $8,066.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.72 | 114 | $7,948.08 | $7,972.92 |
$-118.56 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $58.41 | 136 | $7,943.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $57.98 | 136 | $7,885.28 | $7,914.44 |
$-58.48 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.27 | 138 | $7,903.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $55.93 | 138 | $7,718.34 | $7,729.52 |
$-184.92 (-2.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.89 | 143 | $7,706.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $57.99 | 143 | $8,293.28 | $8,316.53 |
+$587.01 (+7.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.65 | 139 | $8,292.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:00am ET | $57.56 | 139 | $8,000.15 | $8,024.63 |
$-291.90 (-3.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $57.25 | 140 | $8,015.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $58.37 | 140 | $8,171.80 | $8,180.98 |
+$156.35 (+2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.61 | 137 | $8,166.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $59.80 | 137 | $8,192.60 | $8,207.01 |
+$26.03 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $62.63 | 131 | $8,204.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $61.07 | 131 | $8,000.17 | $8,002.65 |
$-204.36 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $63.85 | 125 | $7,981.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $62.27 | 125 | $7,783.75 | $7,805.15 |
$-197.50 (-2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $57.58 | 135 | $7,773.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $57.22 | 135 | $7,725.37 | $7,756.55 |
$-48.60 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.42 | 163 | $7,729.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $47.94 | 163 | $7,814.22 | $7,841.31 |
+$84.76 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $45.70 | 171 | $7,814.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $44.98 | 171 | $7,691.58 | $7,718.19 |
$-123.12 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $43.25 | 178 | $7,697.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:05pm ET | $42.36 | 178 | $7,540.08 | $7,560.64 |
$-157.55 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.69 | 169 | $7,552.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:05pm ET | $46.98 | 169 | $7,939.62 | $7,947.65 |
+$387.01 (+5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.86 | 177 | $7,940.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $43.89 | 177 | $7,768.53 | $7,775.96 |
$-171.69 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $44.03 | 176 | $7,750.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $43.10 | 176 | $7,586.48 | $7,612.28 |
$-163.68 (-2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.66 | 170 | $7,592.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $45.37 | 170 | $7,712.90 | $7,732.98 |
+$120.70 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.65 | 149 | $7,696.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $51.94 | 149 | $7,739.55 | $7,775.94 |
+$42.96 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $48.88 | 159 | $7,772.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $48.48 | 159 | $7,708.32 | $7,712.10 |
$-63.84 (-0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.25 | 147 | $7,680.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $54.38 | 147 | $7,993.86 | $8,025.21 |
+$313.11 (+4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.85 | 141 | $8,015.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $57.80 | 141 | $8,149.80 | $8,159.32 |
+$134.11 (+1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.38 | 144 | $8,118.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.54 | 144 | $8,286.48 | $8,327.08 |
+$167.76 (+2.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $57.06 | 145 | $8,273.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $56.35 | 145 | $8,171.47 | $8,224.85 |
$-102.23 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $53.88 | 152 | $8,189.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $54.06 | 152 | $8,217.12 | $8,252.21 |
+$27.36 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $50.14 | 164 | $8,222.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $49.40 | 164 | $8,101.60 | $8,130.86 |
$-121.36 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $36.37 | 223 | $8,110.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $37.38 | 223 | $8,335.74 | $8,356.09 |
+$225.23 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $38.98 | 214 | $8,341.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $38.30 | 214 | $8,196.20 | $8,210.57 |
$-145.52 (-1.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $37.83 | 217 | $8,209.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $38.42 | 217 | $8,337.81 | $8,339.27 |
+$128.70 (+1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $39.61 | 210 | $8,317.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 2:05pm ET | $39.21 | 210 | $8,234.10 | $8,255.80 |
$-83.47 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.88 | 207 | $8,255.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $38.45 | 207 | $7,959.15 | $7,959.79 |
$-296.01 (-3.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
15m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $39.85 | 199 | $7,930.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $40.22 | 199 | $8,003.78 | $8,033.42 |
+$73.63 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.19 | 186 | $8,032.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET | $41.72 | 186 | $7,759.92 | $7,760.93 |
$-272.49 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.62 | 173 | $7,719.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $44.99 | 173 | $7,783.27 | $7,824.94 |
+$64.01 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $47.63 | 164 | $7,811.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $50.38 | 164 | $8,263.14 | $8,276.76 |
+$451.82 (+5.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.00 | 162 | $8,262.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $50.89 | 162 | $8,244.18 | $8,258.94 |
$-17.82 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,258.94
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,741.06
Total Return:
-17.41%