Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:51:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.8 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,988
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,754.09
Current Value
$3,438.22
Period P&L
$-820.26
Max Drawdown
-66.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
10 / 23
Best Trade
+6.15%
Worst Trade
-6.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$230,849.69
Estimated Fees
$577.12
Gross P&L
$-820.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,397.38
Gross Return
-21.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.22%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $3,754.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $106.31 35 $3,754.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 8:30pm ET $104.46 35 $3,688.70 $3,670.09 $-83.93
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:45am ET $80.06 46 $3,670.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:15am ET $79.08 46 $3,625.17 $3,606.93 $-63.16
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $86.06 42 $3,606.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $85.84 42 $3,597.71 $3,579.70 $-27.23
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $87.73 41 $3,579.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 4:15pm ET $87.34 41 $3,563.66 $3,545.80 $-33.90
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 8:20pm ET $82.00 43 $3,545.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 12:15am ET $81.88 43 $3,540.61 $3,540.61 $-22.91
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:25am ET $87.40 41 $3,540.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 5:40pm ET $89.03 41 $3,606.64 $3,606.64 +$48.16
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET $81.49 44 $3,606.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 8:15pm ET $84.49 44 $3,739.42 $3,739.42 +$114.41
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
11.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $88.27 42 $3,739.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 12:40am ET $87.64 42 $3,712.73 $3,712.73 $-45.32
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET $86.44 43 $3,712.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $86.72 43 $3,724.76 $3,724.76 $-6.57
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:25am ET $87.12 43 $3,724.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $84.35 43 $3,606.33 $3,606.33 $-136.76
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET $89.00 41 $3,606.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 7:15am ET $89.67 41 $3,633.48 $3,633.48 +$9.05
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET $93.08 39 $3,633.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $91.24 39 $3,561.65 $3,561.65 $-89.81
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 8:20pm ET $90.00 40 $3,561.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25pm ET $89.20 40 $3,529.99 $3,529.99 $-49.39
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 15, 2026 6:35pm ET $91.58 39 $3,529.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 15, 2026 10:15pm ET $91.82 39 $3,539.24 $3,539.24 $-8.42
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:10am ET $90.71 39 $3,539.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $90.49 39 $3,530.66 $3,530.66 $-26.26
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $86.44 41 $3,530.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $83.95 41 $3,428.96 $3,428.96 $-119.10
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:35pm ET $84.34 41 $3,428.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30pm ET $84.50 41 $3,435.47 $3,435.47 $-10.66
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $89.91 38 $3,435.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 6:20pm ET $88.94 38 $3,398.41 $3,398.41 $-54.15
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $66.91 51 $3,398.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 9:15pm ET $65.85 51 $3,344.57 $3,344.57 $-70.70
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $69.95 48 $3,344.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 14, 2026 10:55pm ET $70.91 48 $3,390.47 $3,390.47 +$29.06
(+1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:05am ET $70.26 48 $3,390.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 5:35am ET $69.57 48 $3,357.17 $3,357.17 $-50.17
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:20am ET $71.45 47 $3,357.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 4:20pm ET $72.66 47 $3,414.03 $3,414.03 +$39.93
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $75.80 45 $3,414.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 4:40pm ET $75.30 45 $3,391.51 $3,391.51 $-39.53
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 6:40am ET $80.96 42 $3,391.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:25am ET $80.82 42 $3,385.64 $3,385.64 $-22.81
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $80.54 42 $3,385.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 8:45pm ET $85.49 42 $3,593.72 $3,593.72 +$190.63
(+6.1%)
TREND_BREAK
9.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 12:35am ET $99.83 36 $3,593.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $93.30 36 $3,358.65 $3,358.65 $-252.45
(-6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 8:10pm ET $100.59 33 $3,358.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:15am ET $101.29 33 $3,382.02 $3,382.02 +$6.52
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 6:20pm ET $100.33 34 $3,382.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:40pm ET $100.99 34 $3,404.27 $3,404.27 +$5.28
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 5:25am ET $105.49 32 $3,404.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 7:35am ET $103.83 32 $3,350.70 $3,350.70 $-70.46
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:55am ET $104.81 32 $3,350.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 4:00pm ET $104.84 32 $3,351.66 $3,351.66 $-15.80
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $103.02 33 $3,351.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $101.35 33 $3,297.33 $3,297.33 $-70.95
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET $110.41 30 $3,297.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 5:45pm ET $113.17 30 $3,379.76 $3,379.76 +$65.73
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
7h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:45am ET $115.63 29 $3,379.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $117.63 29 $3,438.22 $3,438.22 +$41.41
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
7.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,438.22
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,561.78
Total Return: -65.62%
Back to Trent Follower