Compendium › Trent Follower › UNH
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNH
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 6 trades in period

-5.44%
Year to Date Return
$9,915.49
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,485.77
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,600
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,485.77
Current Value
$9,915.49
Period P&L
$-570.27
Max Drawdown
-5.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+0.33%
Worst Trade
-3.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$120,800.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-570.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-570.27
Gross Return
-5.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,485.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET $292.36 35 $10,232.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $292.99 35 $10,254.65 $10,507.81 +$22.05
(+0.2%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $292.44 35 $10,235.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $286.90 35 $10,041.50 $10,313.91 $-193.90
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 33 $10,157.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $308.82 33 $10,191.06 $10,347.90 +$33.99
(+0.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 29 $10,262.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $350.96 29 $10,177.84 $10,262.93 $-84.97
(-0.8%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $396.33 25 $9,908.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $396.60 25 $9,915.00 $10,269.80 +$6.87
(+0.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $449.51 22 $9,889.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $433.40 22 $9,534.91 $9,915.49 $-354.31
(-3.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,915.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-84.51
Total Return: -0.85%
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