Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,175
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,368.07
Current Value
$5,307.39
Period P&L
$-305.32
Max Drawdown
-50.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+9.91%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$183,430.29
Estimated Fees
$458.58
Gross P&L
$-305.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-763.90
Gross Return
-5.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.23%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $5,368.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.98 2,713 $5,368.10
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $1.98 2,713 $5,374.32 $5,347.46 $-20.64
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $2.26 2,369 $5,347.46
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $2.32 2,369 $5,508.35 $5,481.21 +$133.75
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $1.97 2,779 $5,481.21
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 6:05pm ET $1.96 2,779 $5,451.97 $5,424.64 $-56.57
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 6:20pm ET $1.65 3,285 $5,424.64
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 11:30pm ET $1.66 3,285 $5,458.48 $5,431.27 +$6.63
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $1.62 3,343 $5,431.27
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 5:45pm ET $1.58 3,343 $5,291.88 $5,265.07 $-166.20
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:00pm ET $1.25 4,224 $5,265.07
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET $1.19 4,224 $5,040.71 $5,014.95 $-250.12
(-4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 8:05pm ET $1.24 4,052 $5,014.95
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:15am ET $1.29 4,052 $5,223.62 $5,198.02 +$183.07
(+4.2%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 5:15am ET $1.35 3,850 $5,198.02
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $1.48 3,850 $5,713.20 $5,685.93 +$487.90
(+9.9%)
TREND_BREAK
7.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET $1.35 4,216 $5,685.93
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $1.32 4,216 $5,574.67 $5,574.67 $-139.41
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $1.43 3,912 $5,574.67
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 12:30am ET $1.41 3,912 $5,534.73 $5,534.73 $-67.72
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET $1.40 3,954 $5,534.73
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $1.39 3,954 $5,478.98 $5,478.98 $-83.29
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 4:05am ET $1.41 3,891 $5,478.98
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 6:40am ET $1.40 3,891 $5,438.04 $5,438.04 $-68.23
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:50am ET $1.45 3,738 $5,438.04
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $1.44 3,738 $5,386.31 $5,386.31 $-78.79
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:00am ET $1.44 3,735 $5,386.31
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $1.41 3,735 $5,272.36 $5,272.36 $-140.60
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $1.41 3,730 $5,272.36
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $1.44 3,730 $5,356.24 $5,356.24 +$57.31
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 6:50pm ET $1.36 3,926 $5,356.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:35pm ET $1.37 3,926 $5,380.54 $5,380.54 $-2.54
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:40am ET $1.51 3,572 $5,380.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $1.49 3,572 $5,307.39 $5,307.39 $-99.87
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,307.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,692.61
Total Return: -46.93%
Back to Trent Follower