Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 20.8/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 13.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,857
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
511 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,027.12
Current Value
$10,542.29
Total P&L
$515.17
Max Drawdown
-1.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+3.87%
Worst Trade
-1.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
17.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,250.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$515.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$515.17
Gross Return
+5.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 511 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,027.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $281.03 35 $9,836.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 1:00pm ET $279.70 35 $9,789.50 $9,980.58 $-46.55
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:35am ET $301.97 33 $9,965.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:45am ET $305.23 33 $10,072.59 $10,088.16 +$107.58
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $287.14 35 $10,049.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $282.78 35 $9,897.30 $9,935.56 $-152.60
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $287.97 34 $9,790.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:25pm ET $290.06 34 $9,862.04 $10,006.79 +$71.23
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:55am ET $291.64 34 $9,915.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:40pm ET $299.21 34 $10,173.15 $10,264.17 +$257.39
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:40am ET $307.56 33 $10,149.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $319.47 33 $10,542.51 $10,657.37 +$393.20
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $340.44 31 $10,553.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $339.92 31 $10,537.52 $10,641.25 $-16.12
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $352.78 30 $10,583.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.83 30 $10,975.05 $11,032.90 +$391.65
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:55am ET $374.29 29 $10,854.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $369.39 29 $10,712.45 $10,891.09 $-141.81
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $393.98 27 $10,637.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $391.04 27 $10,558.08 $10,811.71 $-79.38
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $411.89 26 $10,709.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $406.21 26 $10,561.46 $10,663.90 $-147.81
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $441.27 24 $10,590.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $436.19 24 $10,468.56 $10,541.92 $-121.98
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:10am ET $409.29 25 $10,232.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:45am ET $409.30 25 $10,232.50 $10,542.29 +$0.37
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,542.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$542.29
Total Return: +5.42%
Back to Trent Follower