Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:34:44

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 21.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
72,645
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,685.08
Current Value
$12,060.64
Total P&L
$375.59
Max Drawdown
-15.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
59
Winners / Losers
23 / 36
Best Trade
+15.27%
Worst Trade
-4.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
9.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,448,682.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$375.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$375.59
Gross Return
+3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $11,685.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2024 9:40am ET $183.32 63 $11,549.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 2:05pm ET $183.45 63 $11,557.35 $11,693.28 +$8.22
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $178.40 65 $11,596.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 1:35pm ET $183.83 65 $11,948.95 $12,045.98 +$352.70
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $173.01 69 $11,937.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 11:35am ET $168.96 69 $11,658.24 $11,766.87 $-279.10
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2024 9:30am ET $178.23 66 $11,763.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2024 9:30am ET $179.36 66 $11,837.43 $11,841.12 +$74.25
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:30am ET $216.00 54 $11,664.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2024 1:35pm ET $248.99 54 $13,445.46 $13,622.58 +$1,781.46
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 10:35am ET $228.12 59 $13,458.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 1:40pm ET $226.22 59 $13,346.98 $13,510.78 $-111.81
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:50am ET $241.37 55 $13,275.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 11:30am ET $235.22 55 $12,937.10 $13,172.53 $-338.25
(-2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2025 9:40am ET $235.20 56 $13,171.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 1:25pm ET $232.76 56 $13,034.53 $13,035.86 $-136.67
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 24, 2025 9:45am ET $247.80 52 $12,885.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $244.11 52 $12,693.46 $12,843.72 $-192.14
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $218.63 58 $12,680.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $215.83 58 $12,518.20 $12,681.67 $-162.05
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $229.98 55 $12,648.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2025 2:35pm ET $234.92 55 $12,920.33 $12,953.37 +$271.70
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $190.72 67 $12,778.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 3:45pm ET $188.60 67 $12,636.20 $12,811.07 $-142.31
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $189.51 67 $12,697.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:40am ET $182.55 67 $12,230.85 $12,344.75 $-466.32
(-3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:35am ET $188.49 65 $12,251.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 1:10pm ET $189.25 65 $12,301.25 $12,394.15 +$49.40
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 1:50pm ET $148.28 83 $12,306.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $141.38 83 $11,734.13 $11,821.45 $-572.70
(-4.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $166.81 70 $11,676.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $162.36 70 $11,364.85 $11,509.71 $-311.74
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $164.15 70 $11,490.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $174.97 70 $12,247.90 $12,267.11 +$757.40
(+6.6%)
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 9:50am ET $179.51 68 $12,207.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:40am ET $179.21 68 $12,186.08 $12,246.18 $-20.93
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 10:20am ET $169.11 72 $12,175.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $167.95 72 $12,092.40 $12,162.66 $-83.52
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 11:10am ET $185.94 65 $12,086.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:25am ET $187.69 65 $12,199.53 $12,276.08 +$113.43
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
23.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $197.02 62 $12,215.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:30pm ET $199.27 62 $12,354.74 $12,415.58 +$139.50
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
22 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $216.95 57 $12,366.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $231.04 57 $13,169.00 $13,218.43 +$802.85
(+6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $246.85 53 $13,083.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:30pm ET $248.35 53 $13,162.54 $13,297.92 +$79.49
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 9:35am ET $263.13 50 $13,156.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 12:10pm ET $258.51 50 $12,925.50 $13,066.92 $-231.00
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $265.32 49 $13,000.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $261.81 49 $12,828.69 $12,895.17 $-171.75
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:35am ET $289.17 44 $12,723.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $288.75 44 $12,704.78 $12,876.69 $-18.48
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
6h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:05am ET $297.74 43 $12,802.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 1:45pm ET $297.01 43 $12,771.43 $12,845.30 $-31.39
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $349.16 36 $12,569.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 2:10pm ET $336.08 36 $12,098.88 $12,374.44 $-470.85
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $354.78 34 $12,062.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 1:20pm ET $364.89 34 $12,406.09 $12,718.18 +$343.74
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 9:40am ET $343.42 37 $12,706.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $340.31 37 $12,591.47 $12,603.11 $-115.07
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $346.88 36 $12,487.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 1:40pm ET $355.67 36 $12,804.12 $12,919.73 +$316.62
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $357.87 36 $12,883.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $357.10 36 $12,855.64 $12,892.05 $-27.68
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET $355.97 36 $12,814.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET $347.59 36 $12,513.24 $12,590.55 $-301.50
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
34 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $357.57 35 $12,514.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $373.65 35 $13,077.75 $13,153.35 +$562.80
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
35 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET $402.68 32 $12,885.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $399.74 32 $12,791.68 $13,059.19 $-94.16
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
36 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:45am ET $340.27 38 $12,930.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:45am ET $332.75 38 $12,644.50 $12,773.62 $-285.57
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:45am ET $360.06 35 $12,602.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $350.32 35 $12,261.03 $12,432.55 $-341.07
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:00am ET $344.91 36 $12,416.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $344.75 36 $12,411.00 $12,426.79 $-5.76
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $315.23 39 $12,293.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.30 39 $12,374.70 $12,507.52 +$80.73
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $347.81 35 $12,173.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $346.32 35 $12,121.03 $12,455.20 $-52.32
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $332.86 37 $12,316.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $328.70 37 $12,161.90 $12,301.10 $-154.10
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:25am ET $326.12 37 $12,066.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $319.98 37 $11,839.26 $12,073.92 $-227.18
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 36 $11,761.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 36 $11,837.52 $12,149.88 +$75.96
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $368.85 32 $11,803.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $371.45 32 $11,886.40 $12,233.08 +$83.20
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $392.11 31 $12,155.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $390.13 31 $12,094.03 $12,171.70 $-61.38
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $416.00 29 $12,064.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.11 29 $12,212.19 $12,319.89 +$148.19
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3d held
47 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:40am ET $432.31 28 $12,104.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $432.04 28 $12,097.12 $12,312.33 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
48 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $427.39 28 $11,967.06 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $422.06 28 $11,817.68 $12,162.95 $-149.38
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
49 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 27 $11,913.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $439.10 27 $11,855.70 $12,105.44 $-57.51
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 24 $11,720.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $478.69 24 $11,488.56 $11,873.84 $-231.60
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $426.00 27 $11,502.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $415.68 27 $11,223.36 $11,595.20 $-278.64
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 29 $11,462.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $393.11 29 $11,400.05 $11,533.00 $-62.20
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $392.35 29 $11,378.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $395.91 29 $11,481.39 $11,636.24 +$103.24
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.00 31 $11,594.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $375.80 31 $11,649.69 $11,691.93 +$55.69
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $385.14 30 $11,554.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $388.99 30 $11,669.70 $11,807.43 +$115.50
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 29 $11,684.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $418.57 29 $12,138.39 $12,261.28 +$453.85
(+3.9%)
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $365.93 33 $12,075.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.05 33 $12,145.65 $12,331.24 +$69.96
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 33 $12,174.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $365.77 33 $12,070.41 $12,227.13 $-104.11
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $359.63 33 $11,867.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $354.58 33 $11,701.14 $12,060.64 $-166.49
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,060.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,060.64
Total Return: +20.61%
Back to Trent Follower