Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:33

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,058
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
531 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,453.44
Current Value
$9,694.45
Total P&L
$-758.99
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+1.98%
Worst Trade
-2.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
4.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,213.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-758.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-758.99
Gross Return
-7.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 531 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,453.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET $55.10 189 $10,413.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 12:30pm ET $54.20 189 $10,243.80 $10,283.34 $-170.10
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $60.54 169 $10,231.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 1:30pm ET $60.32 169 $10,193.24 $10,245.32 $-38.03
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2025 9:40am ET $59.56 172 $10,244.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2025 12:50pm ET $58.90 172 $10,130.80 $10,131.80 $-113.52
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:35am ET $61.56 164 $10,095.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 1:10pm ET $61.85 164 $10,142.58 $10,178.54 +$46.74
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $52.54 193 $10,139.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $51.93 193 $10,021.53 $10,060.81 $-117.73
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:50am ET $46.83 214 $10,021.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:20pm ET $47.76 214 $10,219.57 $10,258.76 +$197.95
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:45am ET $44.24 231 $10,219.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 1:50pm ET $44.71 231 $10,328.01 $10,367.33 +$108.57
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $48.08 215 $10,336.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 2:00pm ET $48.13 215 $10,346.88 $10,378.08 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $50.63 204 $10,328.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $50.98 204 $10,398.90 $10,448.66 +$70.58
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET $52.82 197 $10,405.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $52.41 197 $10,323.79 $10,366.90 $-81.75
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET $56.33 184 $10,363.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $56.15 184 $10,330.68 $10,333.78 $-33.12
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $59.85 172 $10,293.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $58.14 172 $10,000.08 $10,040.52 $-293.26
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:25am ET $60.00 167 $10,020.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $59.97 167 $10,014.16 $10,034.68 $-5.84
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET $62.17 161 $10,009.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $61.30 161 $9,869.30 $9,894.61 $-140.07
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $68.50 144 $9,864.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $67.11 144 $9,663.84 $9,694.45 $-200.16
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,694.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-305.55
Total Return: -3.06%
Back to Trent Follower