Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.3/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
7.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 43.5/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 40.4

30-Day Momentum

67
+17.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.1 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,217
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,741.22
Current Value
$15,544.80
Total P&L
$5,803.56
Max Drawdown
-18.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
56
Winners / Losers
34 / 22
Best Trade
+10.57%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
12.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,178,169.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,803.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,803.56
Gross Return
+59.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+59.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,741.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:35am ET $306.69 31 $9,507.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 1:05pm ET $308.00 31 $9,548.00 $9,781.84 +$40.61
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $321.48 30 $9,644.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:20pm ET $318.75 30 $9,562.50 $9,699.86 $-81.98
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:50am ET $353.64 27 $9,548.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 2:15pm ET $356.72 27 $9,631.44 $9,783.02 +$83.16
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 9:45am ET $359.49 27 $9,706.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 2:15pm ET $358.46 27 $9,678.42 $9,755.21 $-27.81
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 9:40am ET $356.22 27 $9,617.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $353.72 27 $9,550.44 $9,687.71 $-67.50
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 9:50am ET $384.65 25 $9,616.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 2:05pm ET $402.23 25 $10,055.75 $10,127.21 +$439.50
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:35am ET $430.39 23 $9,898.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $421.38 23 $9,691.74 $9,919.98 $-207.23
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:40am ET $391.40 25 $9,785.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 1:25pm ET $395.35 25 $9,883.75 $10,018.73 +$98.75
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $402.92 24 $9,669.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $391.22 24 $9,389.28 $9,738.05 $-280.68
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:40am ET $321.01 30 $9,630.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $325.00 30 $9,750.07 $9,857.80 +$119.75
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:35am ET $345.50 28 $9,674.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $347.77 28 $9,737.56 $9,921.36 +$63.56
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 10:05am ET $375.52 26 $9,763.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2025 1:10pm ET $372.02 26 $9,672.39 $9,830.34 $-91.03
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2025 9:30am ET $390.53 25 $9,763.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $385.72 25 $9,643.00 $9,710.09 $-120.25
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $334.86 28 $9,376.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $321.32 28 $8,996.96 $9,330.97 $-379.12
(-4.0%)
TREND_BREAK
12m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:20am ET $349.07 26 $9,075.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $337.48 26 $8,774.35 $9,029.63 $-301.34
(-3.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $348.55 25 $8,713.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:10am ET $366.31 25 $9,157.75 $9,473.63 +$444.00
(+5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 10:30am ET $392.43 24 $9,418.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $394.36 24 $9,464.64 $9,519.95 +$46.32
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $387.00 24 $9,288.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 1:30pm ET $389.37 24 $9,344.76 $9,576.71 +$56.76
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
19 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:50am ET $423.27 22 $9,311.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $442.50 22 $9,735.00 $9,999.77 +$423.06
(+4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:45am ET $476.86 20 $9,537.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 12:40pm ET $470.58 20 $9,411.60 $9,874.17 $-125.60
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 9:50am ET $509.14 19 $9,673.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $502.01 19 $9,538.19 $9,738.70 $-135.47
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $476.48 20 $9,529.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:30am ET $500.08 20 $10,001.60 $10,210.70 +$472.00
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET $498.49 20 $9,969.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $504.73 20 $10,094.67 $10,335.56 +$124.87
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:50am ET $514.30 20 $10,286.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $516.04 20 $10,320.80 $10,370.36 +$34.80
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $551.51 18 $9,927.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $553.95 18 $9,971.01 $10,414.19 +$43.83
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $538.38 19 $10,229.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $522.93 19 $9,935.67 $10,120.64 $-293.55
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $474.29 21 $9,960.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:25pm ET $481.56 21 $10,112.76 $10,273.31 +$152.67
(+1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:50am ET $484.75 21 $10,179.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $477.44 21 $10,026.24 $10,119.91 $-153.41
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:30am ET $359.30 28 $10,060.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $350.58 28 $9,816.24 $9,875.89 $-244.02
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $376.46 26 $9,787.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $376.04 26 $9,776.91 $9,864.84 $-11.05
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $379.49 25 $9,487.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $382.90 25 $9,572.50 $9,950.09 +$85.25
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $417.72 23 $9,607.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $420.07 23 $9,661.61 $10,004.20 +$54.11
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $445.55 22 $9,802.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $431.99 22 $9,503.78 $9,705.88 $-298.32
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
15m held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $382.60 25 $9,565.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $385.16 25 $9,629.00 $9,769.88 +$64.00
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $417.68 23 $9,606.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $428.83 23 $9,863.09 $10,026.33 +$256.45
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
21.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $390.20 25 $9,754.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $400.12 25 $10,003.00 $10,274.45 +$248.12
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 24 $10,140.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $416.98 24 $10,007.52 $10,141.83 $-132.62
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $446.24 22 $9,817.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $450.58 22 $9,912.76 $10,237.31 +$95.48
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
39 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $488.00 20 $9,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $495.74 20 $9,914.80 $10,392.11 +$154.80
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
40 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $668.10 15 $10,021.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $667.11 15 $10,006.65 $10,377.26 $-14.85
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
41 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 14 $9,728.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 14 $10,707.90 $11,356.98 +$979.72
(+10.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $661.01 17 $11,237.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $649.06 17 $11,034.02 $11,153.83 $-203.15
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:50am ET $682.25 16 $10,916.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $687.00 16 $10,992.00 $11,229.83 +$76.00
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
21.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $700.70 16 $11,211.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:45am ET $686.95 16 $10,991.12 $11,009.75 $-220.08
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.28 61 $10,997.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $186.59 61 $11,381.99 $11,394.66 +$384.91
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $203.32 56 $11,385.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $201.80 56 $11,301.08 $11,309.82 $-84.84
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET $195.71 57 $11,155.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $196.43 57 $11,196.51 $11,350.86 +$41.04
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.7h held
48 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $194.65 58 $11,289.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:35am ET $207.98 58 $12,062.55 $12,123.71 +$772.85
(+6.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
49 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $189.72 63 $11,952.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $209.77 63 $13,215.51 $13,386.86 +$1,263.15
(+10.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $213.82 62 $13,257.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $212.21 62 $13,157.02 $13,286.73 $-100.13
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $208.00 63 $13,104.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $218.86 63 $13,788.43 $13,971.16 +$684.43
(+5.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $226.37 61 $13,808.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $227.03 61 $13,848.83 $14,011.72 +$40.56
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:15am ET $210.24 66 $13,875.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $212.96 66 $14,055.36 $14,191.24 +$179.52
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $219.01 64 $14,016.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $237.15 64 $15,177.92 $15,352.52 +$1,161.28
(+8.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $246.27 62 $15,268.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 62 $15,328.57 $15,412.35 +$59.83
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
23.6h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $258.76 59 $15,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $261.01 59 $15,399.30 $15,544.80 +$132.45
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,544.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,544.80
Total Return: +55.45%
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