Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:00:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 11%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
85.1/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
0.3/10
Raw Quality 158.7/100
× Confidence 0.11 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (11%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
51,521
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,511.06
Total P&L
$-488.94
Max Drawdown
-2.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+0.57%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
8.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,695.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-488.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-488.94
Gross Return
-4.89%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET $154.55 64 $9,890.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 1, 2024 12:40pm ET $152.95 64 $9,788.80 $9,897.92 $-102.08
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $141.94 69 $9,793.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $141.84 69 $9,786.96 $9,891.02 $-6.90
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $143.09 69 $9,873.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $140.62 69 $9,702.82 $9,720.63 $-170.39
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 59 $9,648.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $164.26 59 $9,691.05 $9,763.41 +$42.78
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 47 $9,566.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:55am ET $198.82 47 $9,344.54 $9,541.51 $-221.90
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 53 $9,434.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $176.41 53 $9,349.73 $9,457.24 $-84.27
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $180.49 52 $9,385.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:40am ET $181.52 52 $9,439.30 $9,511.06 +$53.82
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,511.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-488.94
Total Return: -4.89%
Back to Trent Follower