Compendium › Trent Follower › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Trent Follower's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

-3.91%
2 Years Return
$9,936.63
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,340.85
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:59:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 8.0/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,598
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,340.85
Current Value
$9,936.63
Total P&L
$-404.22
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+1.57%
Worst Trade
-2.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
5.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,142.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-404.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-404.22
Gross Return
-3.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,340.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 9:30am ET $112.32 92 $10,333.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2024 1:00pm ET $109.59 92 $10,082.28 $10,089.69 $-251.16
(-2.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $86.13 117 $10,076.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 11:20am ET $84.45 117 $9,880.65 $9,893.71 $-195.98
(-1.9%) 		TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $86.03 115 $9,893.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $87.38 115 $10,048.70 $10,048.96 +$155.25
(+1.6%) 		TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $88.84 113 $10,038.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:05pm ET $87.67 113 $9,906.71 $9,916.75 $-132.21
(-1.3%) 		TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $100.48 98 $9,847.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 1:50pm ET $101.58 98 $9,955.26 $10,024.97 +$108.22
(+1.1%) 		TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $109.93 91 $10,003.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 2:45pm ET $110.39 91 $10,045.04 $10,066.83 +$41.86
(+0.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $107.78 93 $10,023.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $107.25 93 $9,974.25 $10,017.54 $-49.29
(-0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 94 $10,012.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $107.10 94 $10,067.40 $10,072.53 +$54.99
(+0.5%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $111.61 90 $10,044.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $110.10 90 $9,909.00 $9,936.63 $-135.90
(-1.4%) 		TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,936.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-63.37
Total Return: -0.63%
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