Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 16.3/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 12.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
74,612
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,796.47
Current Value
$10,551.82
Total P&L
$755.32
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
11 / 13
Best Trade
+8.06%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$476,607.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$755.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$755.32
Gross Return
+7.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,796.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET $179.62 54 $9,699.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2024 1:00pm ET $177.83 54 $9,602.82 $9,699.81 $-96.66
(-1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 10:15am ET $176.45 54 $9,528.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 8, 2024 9:35am ET $179.51 54 $9,693.54 $9,865.10 +$165.29
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET $184.60 53 $9,783.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 2:10pm ET $193.04 53 $10,231.12 $10,312.42 +$447.32
(+4.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $151.39 68 $10,294.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:10pm ET $149.30 68 $10,152.06 $10,169.96 $-142.46
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $149.91 67 $10,043.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:50am ET $155.27 67 $10,402.76 $10,528.74 +$358.78
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $156.25 67 $10,468.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $154.03 67 $10,320.01 $10,380.34 $-148.41
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $164.83 62 $10,219.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 12:35pm ET $161.63 62 $10,020.75 $10,181.90 $-198.44
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $157.61 64 $10,087.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $157.78 64 $10,097.92 $10,192.78 +$10.88
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:55am ET $171.63 59 $10,126.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $169.56 59 $10,003.87 $10,070.48 $-122.30
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $178.53 56 $9,997.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 2:10pm ET $176.99 56 $9,911.16 $9,983.96 $-86.52
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $196.06 50 $9,803.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $192.35 50 $9,617.46 $9,798.42 $-185.55
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 9:30am ET $226.80 43 $9,752.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $229.30 43 $9,859.69 $9,905.70 +$107.28
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:35am ET $250.52 39 $9,770.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 1:30pm ET $248.94 39 $9,708.66 $9,844.08 $-61.62
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $285.30 34 $9,700.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 1:05pm ET $285.53 34 $9,708.04 $9,851.92 +$7.84
(+0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:35am ET $286.95 34 $9,756.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:15am ET $289.54 34 $9,844.36 $9,939.98 +$88.06
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $290.27 34 $9,869.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 12:45pm ET $286.26 34 $9,732.84 $9,803.64 $-136.34
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $296.16 33 $9,773.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $293.63 33 $9,689.63 $9,719.98 $-83.66
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $314.96 30 $9,448.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:00am ET $320.02 30 $9,600.45 $9,871.64 +$151.65
(+1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $295.25 33 $9,743.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $297.88 33 $9,830.04 $9,958.34 +$86.70
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 31 $9,933.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $317.68 31 $9,848.08 $9,873.25 $-85.09
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 26 $9,721.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 26 $9,914.06 $10,065.39 +$192.14
(+2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $357.14 28 $9,999.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:50pm ET $354.56 28 $9,927.68 $9,993.29 $-72.10
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $346.57 28 $9,703.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $374.51 28 $10,486.14 $10,775.47 +$782.18
(+8.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 30 $10,701.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:55am ET $349.27 30 $10,478.25 $10,551.82 $-223.65
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,551.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$551.82
Total Return: +5.52%
Back to Trent Follower