Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 13.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
45,334
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,680.63
Current Value
$10,582.24
Total P&L
$901.61
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+4.33%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$352,823.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$901.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$901.61
Gross Return
+9.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,680.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $576.98 16 $9,231.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 2:50pm ET $593.69 16 $9,499.08 $9,948.03 +$267.40
(+2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $598.51 16 $9,576.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $609.70 16 $9,755.20 $10,127.15 +$179.12
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $485.54 20 $9,710.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $475.39 20 $9,507.80 $9,924.25 $-202.90
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $472.64 20 $9,452.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET $493.10 20 $9,861.90 $10,333.35 +$409.10
(+4.3%)
TREND_BREAK
20.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 9:35am ET $516.90 19 $9,821.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $513.76 19 $9,761.44 $10,273.69 $-59.66
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $596.91 17 $10,147.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $592.48 17 $10,072.16 $10,198.38 $-75.31
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $803.16 12 $9,637.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $797.41 12 $9,568.92 $10,129.38 $-69.00
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
6.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:50am ET $836.28 12 $10,035.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:20pm ET $831.97 12 $9,983.64 $10,077.66 $-51.72
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $807.08 12 $9,684.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $796.07 12 $9,552.84 $9,945.54 $-132.12
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $933.23 10 $9,332.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $953.52 10 $9,535.17 $10,148.41 +$202.87
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $966.59 10 $9,665.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $972.00 10 $9,720.00 $10,202.51 +$54.10
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $840.95 12 $10,091.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $835.94 12 $10,031.28 $10,142.45 $-60.06
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 11 $9,957.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $898.75 11 $9,886.24 $10,071.05 $-71.40
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $1,054.00 9 $9,485.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,062.89 9 $9,565.97 $10,151.03 +$79.98
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.90 9 $9,440.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $1,047.89 9 $9,430.98 $10,141.91 $-9.12
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,094.27 9 $9,848.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:00am ET $1,134.13 9 $10,207.17 $10,500.69 +$358.78
(+3.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,049.94 10 $10,499.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,058.46 10 $10,584.60 $10,585.84 +$85.15
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $1,034.18 10 $10,341.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $1,033.82 10 $10,338.20 $10,582.24 $-3.60
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,582.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$582.24
Total Return: +5.82%
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