Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:25:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 10%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
85.7/35
Total Return
30.2/25
Win Rate
54.7/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
40.8/10
Raw Quality 450.1/100
× Confidence 0.10 = 45.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (10%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,019.20
Current Value
$9,677.80
Total P&L
$-341.41
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+1.02%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.68%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,712.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-341.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-341.41
Gross Return
-3.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,019.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $151.45 66 $9,995.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:10pm ET $148.14 66 $9,777.24 $9,800.74 $-218.46
(-2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $164.22 59 $9,688.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 2:10pm ET $164.48 59 $9,704.03 $9,815.79 +$15.04
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $253.83 38 $9,645.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $256.43 38 $9,744.34 $9,914.59 +$98.80
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $267.27 37 $9,888.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:05pm ET $266.91 37 $9,875.67 $9,901.45 $-13.14
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $280.22 35 $9,807.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $273.83 35 $9,584.05 $9,677.80 $-223.65
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,677.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-322.20
Total Return: -3.22%
Back to Trent Follower