META Trent Follower's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 36 trades executed
+10.84%
2 Years Return
$11,457.48
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,337.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
25.6/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 21.2
30-Day Momentum
8
+1.6%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,477
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,337.00
Current Value
$11,457.48
Total P&L
$1,120.49
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
13 /
16
Best Trade
+6.74%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
11.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$562,103.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,120.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,120.49
Gross Return
+10.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $10,337.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2024 9:35am ET | $586.67 | 17 | $9,973.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2024 3:50pm ET | $591.08 | 17 | $10,048.28 | $10,411.89 |
+$74.89 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
6.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $618.15 | 16 | $9,890.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $616.72 | 16 | $9,867.52 | $10,389.01 |
$-22.88 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $705.26 | 14 | $9,873.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $682.48 | 14 | $9,554.72 | $10,070.02 |
$-318.98 (-3.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $629.90 | 15 | $9,448.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $611.84 | 15 | $9,177.53 | $9,799.05 |
$-270.97 (-2.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2025 10:15am ET | $603.76 | 16 | $9,660.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 12:55pm ET | $600.50 | 16 | $9,608.00 | $9,746.95 |
$-52.10 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $613.47 | 15 | $9,202.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 1:15pm ET | $614.23 | 15 | $9,213.38 | $9,758.28 |
+$11.32 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $523.80 | 18 | $9,428.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $505.90 | 18 | $9,106.20 | $9,436.17 |
$-322.11 (-3.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $542.48 | 17 | $9,222.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 11:25am ET | $527.29 | 17 | $8,963.99 | $9,177.99 |
$-258.17 (-2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $541.29 | 16 | $8,660.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $556.01 | 16 | $8,896.08 | $9,413.43 |
+$235.44 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 12:15pm ET | $505.22 | 18 | $9,093.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $495.05 | 18 | $8,910.90 | $9,230.37 |
$-183.06 (-2.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $582.81 | 15 | $8,742.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 1:25pm ET | $573.75 | 15 | $8,606.26 | $9,094.54 |
$-135.84 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $622.30 | 14 | $8,712.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 1:35pm ET | $655.78 | 14 | $9,180.92 | $9,563.26 |
+$468.72 (+5.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $780.03 | 12 | $9,360.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 1:35pm ET | $777.49 | 12 | $9,329.88 | $9,532.77 |
$-30.48 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $605.70 | 15 | $9,085.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $592.22 | 15 | $8,883.29 | $9,330.56 |
$-202.21 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $666.37 | 14 | $9,329.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:05pm ET | $662.53 | 14 | $9,275.42 | $9,276.80 |
$-53.76 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $633.86 | 14 | $8,873.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $662.30 | 14 | $9,272.20 | $9,675.03 |
+$398.23 (+4.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $730.79 | 13 | $9,500.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $724.20 | 13 | $9,414.60 | $9,589.36 |
$-85.67 (-0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $555.85 | 17 | $9,449.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $583.55 | 17 | $9,920.35 | $10,060.26 |
+$470.90 (+5.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $606.00 | 16 | $9,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $611.42 | 16 | $9,782.72 | $10,146.98 |
+$86.72 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $657.04 | 15 | $9,855.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $660.27 | 15 | $9,904.05 | $10,195.43 |
+$48.45 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $635.16 | 16 | $10,162.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $632.14 | 16 | $10,114.16 | $10,147.11 |
$-48.32 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
20.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $587.63 | 17 | $9,989.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $595.54 | 17 | $10,124.18 | $10,281.58 |
+$134.47 (+1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $601.16 | 17 | $10,219.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $618.16 | 17 | $10,508.72 | $10,570.66 |
+$289.08 (+2.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $661.98 | 15 | $9,929.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $663.94 | 15 | $9,959.10 | $10,600.06 |
+$29.40 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $555.13 | 19 | $10,547.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $591.03 | 19 | $11,229.66 | $11,282.35 |
+$682.29 (+6.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.35 | 19 | $11,197.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $564.90 | 19 | $10,733.08 | $10,817.69 |
$-464.66 (-4.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $616.27 | 17 | $10,476.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $612.36 | 17 | $10,410.12 | $10,751.30 |
$-66.39 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $650.75 | 16 | $10,412.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $650.65 | 16 | $10,410.40 | $10,749.70 |
$-1.60 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $699.89 | 15 | $10,498.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $747.07 | 15 | $11,206.05 | $11,457.48 |
+$707.78 (+6.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,457.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,457.48
Total Return:
+14.57%