Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-04-03 22:26:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
9
Extreme Fear
VIX
24.5
ELEVATED
10Y Yield
4.31%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
3.28
NORMAL
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 4.8
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 3, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
10.5/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 23.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

2
-9.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-03 → 2026-04-02
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$12,203.88
Current Value
$11,711.92
Total P&L
$-491.95
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
62
Winners / Losers
29 / 33
Best Trade
+8.02%
Worst Trade
-5.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,636,316.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-491.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-491.95
Gross Return
-4.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,203.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2024 10:10am ET $87.99 138 $12,142.62
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2024 3:30pm ET $88.19 138 $12,170.22 $12,231.48 +$27.60
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET $74.85 163 $12,200.55
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2024 3:20pm ET $75.19 163 $12,255.16 $12,286.08 +$54.61
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2024 9:55am ET $84.39 145 $12,236.55
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2024 11:20am ET $82.45 145 $11,955.26 $12,004.80 $-281.29
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2024 10:35am ET $82.08 146 $11,983.68
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2024 12:55pm ET $81.32 146 $11,872.72 $11,893.84 $-110.96
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:35am ET $77.22 154 $11,891.88
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 2:10pm ET $79.10 154 $12,180.63 $12,182.59 +$288.75
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2024 10:00am ET $79.49 153 $12,161.97
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2024 10:05am ET $81.25 153 $12,431.25 $12,451.87 +$269.28
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $87.10 142 $12,368.20
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 3:05pm ET $92.60 142 $13,149.77 $13,233.43 +$781.57
(+6.3%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $90.92 145 $13,183.40
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:55pm ET $91.47 145 $13,263.15 $13,313.18 +$79.75
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $93.08 143 $13,309.73
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 1:15pm ET $93.26 143 $13,336.18 $13,339.64 +$26.46
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2024 9:40am ET $94.09 141 $13,266.69
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 1:15pm ET $96.61 141 $13,622.01 $13,694.96 +$355.32
(+2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2024 10:50am ET $92.37 148 $13,670.02
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2024 9:35am ET $94.59 148 $13,999.32 $14,024.26 +$329.30
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 9:35am ET $100.76 139 $14,005.64
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 2:15pm ET $103.22 139 $14,347.58 $14,366.20 +$341.94
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2024 9:30am ET $106.95 134 $14,331.30
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2024 12:55pm ET $105.44 134 $14,128.96 $14,163.86 $-202.34
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $107.85 131 $14,128.55
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 1:35pm ET $109.73 131 $14,374.63 $14,409.94 +$246.08
(+1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $118.00 122 $14,396.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2024 3:15pm ET $117.77 122 $14,367.94 $14,381.88 $-28.06
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $111.96 128 $14,330.88
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $112.38 128 $14,384.64 $14,435.64 +$53.76
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 9:35am ET $117.27 123 $14,424.21
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET $113.98 123 $14,019.54 $14,030.97 $-404.67
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 17, 2025 9:35am ET $119.52 117 $13,983.84
🔴 SELL Jan 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $118.77 117 $13,895.51 $13,942.64 $-88.33
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 10:20am ET $129.02 108 $13,934.16
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 12:45pm ET $127.05 108 $13,721.40 $13,729.88 $-212.76
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2025 9:30am ET $154.91 88 $13,631.64
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 3:15pm ET $167.33 88 $14,724.60 $14,822.84 +$1,092.96
(+8.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $147.93 100 $14,793.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $146.63 100 $14,663.27 $14,693.11 $-129.73
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 2:00pm ET $140.74 104 $14,636.96
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET $139.14 104 $14,470.05 $14,526.20 $-166.91
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
19.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:45am ET $121.83 119 $14,497.77
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $119.64 119 $14,237.16 $14,265.59 $-260.61
(-1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 9:50am ET $122.69 116 $14,231.46
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 1:15pm ET $123.56 116 $14,332.96 $14,367.09 +$101.50
(+0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $101.80 141 $14,353.10
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $96.41 141 $13,593.81 $13,607.80 $-759.29
(-5.3%)
TREND_BREAK
12m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 10:20am ET $104.91 129 $13,533.39
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $100.97 129 $13,025.13 $13,099.54 $-508.26
(-3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $103.95 126 $13,097.39
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $106.82 126 $13,459.45 $13,461.60 +$362.06
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
20.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $110.33 122 $13,459.65
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $107.13 122 $13,069.56 $13,071.51 $-390.10
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 10:05am ET $113.05 115 $13,000.75
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:10pm ET $111.26 115 $12,795.19 $12,865.95 $-205.56
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 11:05am ET $105.46 122 $12,865.65
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 1:55pm ET $105.39 122 $12,856.97 $12,857.26 $-8.68
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:50am ET $117.59 109 $12,817.31
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $118.33 109 $12,897.97 $12,937.92 +$80.66
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
32 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $123.85 104 $12,880.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 1:40pm ET $124.44 104 $12,941.76 $12,999.28 +$61.36
(+0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
33 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 96 $12,940.80
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $132.79 96 $12,747.36 $12,805.84 $-193.44
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
34 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 10:15am ET $147.59 86 $12,692.31
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $152.00 86 $13,072.00 $13,185.53 +$379.69
(+3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:20am ET $178.09 74 $13,178.66
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 2:25pm ET $179.19 74 $13,259.69 $13,266.56 +$81.03
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 69 $13,121.04
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $188.99 69 $13,040.31 $13,185.83 $-80.73
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:20am ET $191.45 68 $13,018.60
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:35am ET $189.14 68 $12,861.52 $13,028.75 $-157.08
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:15am ET $197.77 65 $12,855.05
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 2:30pm ET $199.01 65 $12,935.84 $13,109.54 +$80.79
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $208.75 62 $12,942.50
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $208.08 62 $12,900.96 $13,068.00 $-41.54
(-0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:50am ET $209.43 62 $12,984.46
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:15pm ET $209.50 62 $12,988.70 $13,072.24 +$4.24
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:40am ET $211.21 61 $12,883.81
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:25pm ET $213.73 61 $13,037.53 $13,225.96 +$153.72
(+1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 9:40am ET $219.60 60 $13,176.00
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $219.42 60 $13,165.20 $13,215.16 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held
43 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $224.00 58 $12,992.00
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $221.47 58 $12,844.97 $13,068.13 $-147.03
(-1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:50am ET $219.55 59 $12,953.45
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:40am ET $222.40 59 $13,121.61 $13,236.29 +$168.16
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:50am ET $224.49 58 $13,020.13
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $221.26 58 $12,832.79 $13,048.95 $-187.34
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.2h held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $241.38 54 $13,034.52
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 1:35pm ET $246.50 54 $13,311.00 $13,325.43 +$276.48
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $229.70 58 $13,322.31
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:30pm ET $242.04 58 $14,038.32 $14,041.44 +$716.01
(+5.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3d held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $202.42 69 $13,966.98
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $197.16 69 $13,604.04 $13,678.50 $-362.94
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:50am ET $205.89 66 $13,588.74
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 12:55pm ET $202.88 66 $13,390.08 $13,479.84 $-198.66
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:05am ET $203.59 66 $13,436.93
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:45pm ET $200.40 66 $13,226.40 $13,269.31 $-210.53
(-1.6%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET $202.81 65 $13,182.65
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $200.30 65 $13,019.50 $13,106.16 $-163.15
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $177.91 73 $12,987.43
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.55 73 $12,814.79 $12,933.51 $-172.65
(-1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $192.80 67 $12,917.27
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $191.78 67 $12,849.26 $12,865.51 $-68.00
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:45am ET $183.22 70 $12,825.40
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $183.65 70 $12,855.15 $12,895.26 +$29.75
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
4.4h held
55 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $172.87 74 $12,792.38
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET $168.23 74 $12,448.65 $12,551.53 $-343.73
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $178.87 70 $12,520.90
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $181.71 70 $12,719.35 $12,749.98 +$198.45
(+1.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
3h held
57 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $176.01 72 $12,672.72
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $179.18 72 $12,900.96 $12,978.22 +$228.24
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET $193.16 67 $12,942.05
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $189.04 67 $12,665.35 $12,701.51 $-276.71
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
59 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $222.50 57 $12,682.50
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $224.99 57 $12,824.43 $12,843.44 +$141.93
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
20.8h held
60 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $223.32 57 $12,729.18
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $217.16 57 $12,378.12 $12,492.38 $-351.06
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
61 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $208.51 59 $12,302.38
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $201.75 59 $11,903.25 $12,093.25 $-399.13
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
62 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.40 57 $11,992.80
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $203.71 57 $11,611.47 $11,711.92 $-381.33
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,711.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,711.92
Total Return: +17.12%
Back to Trent Follower