Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:50:55

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 23.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-7.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,478
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,962.43
Current Value
$11,862.97
Total P&L
$1,900.55
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
65
Winners / Losers
33 / 32
Best Trade
+15.46%
Worst Trade
-6.49%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
11.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,487,959.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,900.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,900.55
Gross Return
+19.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,962.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $178.01 55 $9,790.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:40pm ET $180.34 55 $9,918.70 $10,090.58 +$128.15
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:40am ET $187.91 53 $9,959.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2024 1:35pm ET $188.58 53 $9,994.74 $10,126.09 +$35.51
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $168.83 59 $9,961.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $184.84 59 $10,905.56 $11,070.48 +$944.39
(+9.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 10:20am ET $162.29 68 $11,035.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2025 3:45pm ET $163.99 68 $11,151.32 $11,186.08 +$115.60
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:45am ET $168.10 66 $11,094.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 3:40pm ET $170.00 66 $11,219.67 $11,311.15 +$125.07
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2025 11:40am ET $181.37 62 $11,244.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $179.76 62 $11,144.81 $11,211.02 $-100.13
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $131.05 85 $11,138.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $129.12 85 $10,974.78 $11,046.97 $-164.05
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $131.32 84 $11,030.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET $134.63 84 $11,308.50 $11,324.59 +$277.62
(+2.5%)
TREND_BREAK
20.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET $135.68 83 $11,261.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 11:45am ET $133.79 83 $11,104.57 $11,167.72 $-156.87
(-1.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $134.52 83 $11,164.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $131.44 83 $10,909.52 $10,912.49 $-255.22
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $146.06 74 $10,808.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 12:50pm ET $146.01 74 $10,804.97 $10,909.02 $-3.47
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $155.30 70 $10,871.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:55pm ET $161.24 70 $11,286.80 $11,324.82 +$415.80
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $192.74 58 $11,178.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 2:05pm ET $200.61 58 $11,635.38 $11,781.28 +$456.46
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:40am ET $211.76 55 $11,646.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 2:35pm ET $214.53 55 $11,799.15 $11,933.63 +$152.35
(+1.3%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $224.07 53 $11,875.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:55pm ET $219.33 53 $11,624.49 $11,682.41 $-251.22
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET $232.94 50 $11,646.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $231.86 50 $11,593.00 $11,628.66 $-53.75
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:45am ET $246.87 47 $11,602.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $247.35 47 $11,625.45 $11,651.22 +$22.56
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:50am ET $257.11 45 $11,569.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:25pm ET $257.92 45 $11,606.18 $11,687.44 +$36.23
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $230.63 50 $11,531.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $239.12 50 $11,955.75 $12,111.69 +$424.25
(+3.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 37 $12,062.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $334.56 37 $12,378.72 $12,427.67 +$315.98
(+2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $303.42 40 $12,136.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 1:00pm ET $300.61 40 $12,024.40 $12,315.27 $-112.40
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 10:30am ET $315.82 38 $12,001.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 9:30am ET $321.37 38 $12,212.06 $12,526.17 +$210.90
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
23h held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET $306.32 40 $12,252.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 2:50pm ET $308.78 40 $12,351.20 $12,624.77 +$98.60
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $318.80 39 $12,433.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $298.11 39 $11,626.43 $11,818.20 $-806.58
(-6.5%)
TREND_BREAK
20.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $244.28 48 $11,725.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:55pm ET $241.43 48 $11,588.64 $11,681.40 $-136.80
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:20am ET $224.08 52 $11,652.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:15pm ET $224.78 52 $11,688.51 $11,717.75 +$36.35
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $232.62 50 $11,631.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $226.56 50 $11,328.00 $11,414.75 $-303.00
(-2.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 55 $11,378.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET $205.17 55 $11,284.35 $11,320.70 $-94.05
(-0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
29 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $208.12 54 $11,238.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET $203.32 54 $10,979.01 $11,061.50 $-259.20
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $222.87 49 $10,920.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:00pm ET $218.32 49 $10,697.68 $10,838.79 $-222.71
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held
31 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $200.45 54 $10,824.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $195.77 54 $10,571.58 $10,586.07 $-252.72
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
18.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $189.60 55 $10,428.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 1:40pm ET $192.95 55 $10,612.25 $10,770.32 +$184.25
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
4.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $197.36 54 $10,657.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $197.44 54 $10,661.76 $10,774.64 +$4.32
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9d held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $178.52 60 $10,710.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $178.27 60 $10,696.11 $10,759.85 $-14.79
(-0.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $183.01 58 $10,614.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $183.67 58 $10,652.86 $10,798.13 +$38.28
(+0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:50am ET $180.81 59 $10,667.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET $175.32 59 $10,343.88 $10,474.17 $-323.96
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $152.07 68 $10,340.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.80 68 $10,730.40 $10,864.10 +$389.93
(+3.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $145.45 74 $10,763.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $145.52 74 $10,768.33 $10,869.13 +$5.03
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
5.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 10:45am ET $148.99 72 $10,727.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $148.62 72 $10,700.64 $10,842.49 $-26.64
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 65 $10,790.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $163.46 65 $10,624.89 $10,677.38 $-165.11
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 70 $10,570.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $143.90 70 $10,073.35 $10,180.73 $-496.65
(-4.7%)
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET $144.28 70 $10,099.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 70 $11,661.30 $11,742.43 +$1,561.70
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $169.17 69 $11,672.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $168.84 69 $11,649.96 $11,719.66 $-22.77
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $183.76 63 $11,576.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:30am ET $178.63 63 $11,253.38 $11,396.16 $-323.50
(-2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET $182.85 62 $11,337.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $183.36 62 $11,368.32 $11,427.47 +$31.31
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
46 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $169.17 67 $11,334.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $172.14 67 $11,533.38 $11,626.46 +$198.99
(+1.8%)
TREND_BREAK
5h held
47 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $192.95 60 $11,576.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $194.81 60 $11,688.60 $11,738.07 +$111.61
(+1.0%)
TREND_BREAK
23.9h held
48 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $195.82 59 $11,553.14 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $195.77 59 $11,550.43 $11,735.36 $-2.71
(-0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3h held
49 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $196.59 59 $11,598.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $202.87 59 $11,969.33 $12,105.79 +$370.43
(+3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.84 52 $12,055.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $244.72 52 $12,725.44 $12,775.47 +$669.68
(+5.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $219.96 58 $12,757.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $212.84 58 $12,344.43 $12,362.22 $-413.25
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
25m held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $211.85 58 $12,287.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $204.99 58 $11,889.42 $11,964.34 $-397.88
(-3.2%)
TREND_BREAK
45m held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $184.69 64 $11,820.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET $179.74 64 $11,503.36 $11,647.54 $-316.80
(-2.7%)
TREND_BREAK
18.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:55am ET $189.65 61 $11,568.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $193.67 61 $11,813.87 $11,892.76 +$245.22
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $144.09 82 $11,815.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $144.93 82 $11,884.67 $11,962.05 +$69.29
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.11 98 $11,868.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $118.64 98 $11,626.23 $11,719.50 $-242.55
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
57 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.26 95 $11,709.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $126.19 95 $11,988.52 $11,998.32 +$278.82
(+2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $135.95 88 $11,963.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $146.13 88 $12,859.44 $12,894.16 +$895.84
(+7.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2d held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.13 84 $12,862.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $152.24 84 $12,788.16 $12,819.40 $-74.76
(-0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $147.07 87 $12,795.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.82 87 $12,773.34 $12,797.65 $-21.75
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $150.95 84 $12,679.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $147.35 84 $12,377.40 $12,495.25 $-302.40
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held
62 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $150.99 82 $12,381.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.37 82 $12,658.38 $12,772.45 +$277.20
(+2.2%)
TREND_BREAK
5.7h held
63 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $167.75 76 $12,749.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $162.78 76 $12,371.28 $12,394.73 $-377.72
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held
64 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 75 $12,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $155.44 75 $11,658.36 $11,774.09 $-620.64
(-5.1%)
TREND_BREAK
35m held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $148.68 79 $11,745.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $149.80 79 $11,834.59 $11,862.97 +$88.88
(+0.8%)
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,862.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,862.97
Total Return: +18.63%
Back to Trent Follower