Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:19

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 6.8/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,446
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
513 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,895.38
Current Value
$9,898.13
Total P&L
$2.74
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,719.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$2.74
Gross Return
+0.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 513 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,895.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2024 9:30am ET $126.95 77 $9,774.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $129.66 77 $9,983.82 $10,104.44 +$209.06
(+2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $146.19 69 $10,087.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $144.85 69 $9,994.65 $10,011.98 $-92.46
(-0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $160.42 62 $9,946.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $159.70 62 $9,901.40 $9,967.34 $-44.64
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $169.05 58 $9,804.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 12:50pm ET $167.80 58 $9,732.40 $9,895.05 $-72.29
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $157.71 62 $9,778.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:05pm ET $158.61 62 $9,833.82 $9,950.85 +$55.80
(+0.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $160.28 62 $9,937.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $163.34 62 $10,127.08 $10,140.57 +$189.72
(+1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:05am ET $177.98 56 $9,966.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $179.92 56 $10,075.38 $10,249.07 +$108.50
(+1.1%)
TREND_BREAK
4.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 54 $10,221.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $186.39 54 $10,065.06 $10,092.47 $-156.60
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $186.29 54 $10,059.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $191.58 54 $10,345.32 $10,378.13 +$285.66
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $195.75 53 $10,374.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET $189.90 53 $10,064.96 $10,068.35 $-309.79
(-3.0%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 49 $9,917.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $202.46 49 $9,920.54 $10,071.29 +$2.94
(+0.0%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $192.11 52 $9,989.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $188.78 52 $9,816.56 $9,898.13 $-173.16
(-1.7%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,898.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-101.87
Total Return: -1.02%
Back to Trent Follower